MrBeast’s proven formula of high-stakes survival and challenge videos, paired with his 516-million-subscriber base and aggressive cross-platform promotion, anchors trader consensus around 80–90 million week-one views at 40.5% implied probability. Recent uploads in the same vein, such as extreme-location challenges, have delivered comparable early traction through strong retention and algorithmic lift, while the 31% probability on 90M+ reflects uncertainty over whether final-day momentum will push totals higher. The tight spread between the top two brackets underscores how subtle differences in release timing, teaser impact, and competing content can shift outcomes, with resolution hinging on the official YouTube counter after seven days.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertAnzahl der Aufrufe des nächsten MrBeast-Videos in Woche 1?
90M+ 38%
80-90 Mio. 26%
70-80 Mio. 13.2%
60-70 Mio. 7.6%
$34,308 Vol.
$34,308 Vol.
<40 Mio.
<1%
40-50 Mio.
<1%
50-60 Mio.
1%
60-70 Mio.
8%
70-80 Mio.
21%
80-90 Mio.
39%
90M+
39%
90M+ 38%
80-90 Mio. 26%
70-80 Mio. 13.2%
60-70 Mio. 7.6%
$34,308 Vol.
$34,308 Vol.
<40 Mio.
<1%
40-50 Mio.
<1%
50-60 Mio.
1%
60-70 Mio.
8%
70-80 Mio.
21%
80-90 Mio.
39%
90M+
39%
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 3, 2026, 2:10 PM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...MrBeast’s proven formula of high-stakes survival and challenge videos, paired with his 516-million-subscriber base and aggressive cross-platform promotion, anchors trader consensus around 80–90 million week-one views at 40.5% implied probability. Recent uploads in the same vein, such as extreme-location challenges, have delivered comparable early traction through strong retention and algorithmic lift, while the 31% probability on 90M+ reflects uncertainty over whether final-day momentum will push totals higher. The tight spread between the top two brackets underscores how subtle differences in release timing, teaser impact, and competing content can shift outcomes, with resolution hinging on the official YouTube counter after seven days.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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