MrBeast’s September 17 announcement of a $10 million, years-in-development video slated for September 19 upload has fueled the tight clustering around 25–35 million day-one views. Traders see the unprecedented budget and creator hype as a strong catalyst for elevated performance relative to typical releases, yet MrBeast’s own caveat that the project “prob won’t perform that well” introduces meaningful downside risk and prevents stronger consensus on 40 million-plus outcomes. Historical day-one benchmarks for major challenge videos, combined with the secrecy around format and the main channel’s algorithmic reach, keep the 20–30 million and 30–35 million brackets nearly even as the primary swing factors ahead of the Saturday drop.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertAnzahl der Aufrufe des nächsten MrBeast-Videos am ersten Tag?
Anzahl der Aufrufe des nächsten MrBeast-Videos am ersten Tag?
25–30 Mio. 26%
30–35 Mio. 18%
20–25 Mio. 18%
35–40 Mio. 16%
NEU
$14,555 Vol.
NEU
$14,555 Vol.
20. Sep. 2026
<20 Mio.
9%
20–25 Mio.
18%
25–30 Mio.
26%
30–35 Mio.
18%
35–40 Mio.
16%
40–45 Mio.
4%
45M+
3%
25–30 Mio. 26%
30–35 Mio. 18%
20–25 Mio. 18%
35–40 Mio. 16%
NEU
$14,555 Vol.
NEU
$14,555 Vol.
20. Sep. 2026
<20 Mio.
$3,685 Vol.
9%
20–25 Mio.
$1,546 Vol.
18%
25–30 Mio.
$1,232 Vol.
26%
30–35 Mio.
$423 Vol.
18%
35–40 Mio.
$633 Vol.
16%
40–45 Mio.
$1,477 Vol.
4%
45M+
$5,559 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.MrBeast’s September 17 announcement of a $10 million, years-in-development video slated for September 19 upload has fueled the tight clustering around 25–35 million day-one views. Traders see the unprecedented budget and creator hype as a strong catalyst for elevated performance relative to typical releases, yet MrBeast’s own caveat that the project “prob won’t perform that well” introduces meaningful downside risk and prevents stronger consensus on 40 million-plus outcomes. Historical day-one benchmarks for major challenge videos, combined with the secrecy around format and the main channel’s algorithmic reach, keep the 20–30 million and 30–35 million brackets nearly even as the primary swing factors ahead of the Saturday drop.
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 17, 2026, 10:12 AM ET
Volumen
$14,555Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 17, 2026, 10:12 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.MrBeast’s September 17 announcement of a $10 million, years-in-development video slated for September 19 upload has fueled the tight clustering around 25–35 million day-one views. Traders see the unprecedented budget and creator hype as a strong catalyst for elevated performance relative to typical releases, yet MrBeast’s own caveat that the project “prob won’t perform that well” introduces meaningful downside risk and prevents stronger consensus on 40 million-plus outcomes. Historical day-one benchmarks for major challenge videos, combined with the secrecy around format and the main channel’s algorithmic reach, keep the 20–30 million and 30–35 million brackets nearly even as the primary swing factors ahead of the Saturday drop.
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Volumen
$14,555Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 17, 2026, 10:12 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...MrBeast’s September 17 announcement of a $10 million, years-in-development video slated for September 19 upload has fueled the tight clustering around 25–35 million day-one views. Traders see the unprecedented budget and creator hype as a strong catalyst for elevated performance relative to typical releases, yet MrBeast’s own caveat that the project “prob won’t perform that well” introduces meaningful downside risk and prevents stronger consensus on 40 million-plus outcomes. Historical day-one benchmarks for major challenge videos, combined with the secrecy around format and the main channel’s algorithmic reach, keep the 20–30 million and 30–35 million brackets nearly even as the primary swing factors ahead of the Saturday drop.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen