MrBeast’s latest long-form video, released September 19 after months of buildup around its $10 million production cost and “biggest ever” positioning, is driving the 42–45 million bracket to an 85.5% implied probability for first-48-hour views. Strong early momentum from subscriber notifications, social amplification, and MrBeast’s consistent track record of 30–50 million day-two totals on major drops anchors trader consensus here, even as charity-focused content sometimes trails pure spectacle videos. The market reflects measured expectations that day-two velocity will push the total into the favored range without reaching outlier territory, with limited room for late surges or shortfalls given typical YouTube decay patterns.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertAnzahl der Aufrufe des MrBeast-Videos an Tag 2?
Anzahl der Aufrufe des MrBeast-Videos an Tag 2?
42–45 Mio. 95%
45–48 Mio. 4.0%
39–42 Mio. 1.6%
48–51 Mio. 1.6%
NEU
$17,582 Vol.
NEU
$17,582 Vol.
21. Sep. 2026
<36 Mio.
<1%
36–39M
<1%
39–42 Mio.
2%
42–45 Mio.
95%
45–48 Mio.
4%
48–51 Mio.
2%
51M+
<1%
42–45 Mio. 95%
45–48 Mio. 4.0%
39–42 Mio. 1.6%
48–51 Mio. 1.6%
NEU
$17,582 Vol.
NEU
$17,582 Vol.
21. Sep. 2026
<36 Mio.
$681 Vol.
<1%
36–39M
$4,445 Vol.
<1%
39–42 Mio.
$3,645 Vol.
2%
42–45 Mio.
$1,237 Vol.
95%
45–48 Mio.
$2,809 Vol.
4%
48–51 Mio.
$770 Vol.
2%
51M+
$4,442 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 48 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 48 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.
Note: This market refers only to the video "I Built A City To Save Kids From Illegal Labor" by MrBeast (see: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v9QtM6qnG50).MrBeast’s latest long-form video, released September 19 after months of buildup around its $10 million production cost and “biggest ever” positioning, is driving the 42–45 million bracket to an 85.5% implied probability for first-48-hour views. Strong early momentum from subscriber notifications, social amplification, and MrBeast’s consistent track record of 30–50 million day-two totals on major drops anchors trader consensus here, even as charity-focused content sometimes trails pure spectacle videos. The market reflects measured expectations that day-two velocity will push the total into the favored range without reaching outlier territory, with limited room for late surges or shortfalls given typical YouTube decay patterns.
This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 48 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 48 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.
Note: This market refers only to the video "I Built A City To Save Kids From Illegal Labor" by MrBeast (see: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v9QtM6qnG50).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.
Note: This market refers only to the video "I Built A City To Save Kids From Illegal Labor" by MrBeast (see: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v9QtM6qnG50).
Markt eröffnet: Sep 19, 2026, 10:48 PM ET
Volumen
$17,582Enddatum
21. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 19, 2026, 10:48 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 48 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 48 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.
Note: This market refers only to the video "I Built A City To Save Kids From Illegal Labor" by MrBeast (see: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v9QtM6qnG50).MrBeast’s latest long-form video, released September 19 after months of buildup around its $10 million production cost and “biggest ever” positioning, is driving the 42–45 million bracket to an 85.5% implied probability for first-48-hour views. Strong early momentum from subscriber notifications, social amplification, and MrBeast’s consistent track record of 30–50 million day-two totals on major drops anchors trader consensus here, even as charity-focused content sometimes trails pure spectacle videos. The market reflects measured expectations that day-two velocity will push the total into the favored range without reaching outlier territory, with limited room for late surges or shortfalls given typical YouTube decay patterns.
This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 48 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 48 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.
Note: This market refers only to the video "I Built A City To Save Kids From Illegal Labor" by MrBeast (see: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v9QtM6qnG50).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.
Note: This market refers only to the video "I Built A City To Save Kids From Illegal Labor" by MrBeast (see: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v9QtM6qnG50).
Volumen
$17,582Enddatum
21. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 19, 2026, 10:48 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...MrBeast’s latest long-form video, released September 19 after months of buildup around its $10 million production cost and “biggest ever” positioning, is driving the 42–45 million bracket to an 85.5% implied probability for first-48-hour views. Strong early momentum from subscriber notifications, social amplification, and MrBeast’s consistent track record of 30–50 million day-two totals on major drops anchors trader consensus here, even as charity-focused content sometimes trails pure spectacle videos. The market reflects measured expectations that day-two velocity will push the total into the favored range without reaching outlier territory, with limited room for late surges or shortfalls given typical YouTube decay patterns.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen