Incumbent Democrat Joseph Morelle secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary and faces Republican Virginia McIntyre in the November general election for New York's 25th congressional district. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic based on its voter composition and Morelle's prior margins, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the current odds. The race lacks major late-breaking shifts or competitive polling that would elevate Republican prospects. A significant national partisan swing, unexpected candidate withdrawal, or unusually high opposition turnout could narrow the gap, though structural advantages for the incumbent remain the dominant factor until closer to Election Day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNY-25 Wahlsieger
NY-25 Wahlsieger
$25,652 Vol.
$25,652 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
94%
Republikanische Partei
3%
$25,652 Vol.
$25,652 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$15,410 Vol.
94%
Republikanische Partei
$10,243 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Joseph Morelle secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary and faces Republican Virginia McIntyre in the November general election for New York's 25th congressional district. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic based on its voter composition and Morelle's prior margins, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the current odds. The race lacks major late-breaking shifts or competitive polling that would elevate Republican prospects. A significant national partisan swing, unexpected candidate withdrawal, or unusually high opposition turnout could narrow the gap, though structural advantages for the incumbent remain the dominant factor until closer to Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$25,652Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Joseph Morelle secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary and faces Republican Virginia McIntyre in the November general election for New York's 25th congressional district. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic based on its voter composition and Morelle's prior margins, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the current odds. The race lacks major late-breaking shifts or competitive polling that would elevate Republican prospects. A significant national partisan swing, unexpected candidate withdrawal, or unusually high opposition turnout could narrow the gap, though structural advantages for the incumbent remain the dominant factor until closer to Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$25,652Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Joseph Morelle secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary and faces Republican Virginia McIntyre in the November general election for New York's 25th congressional district. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic based on its voter composition and Morelle's prior margins, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the current odds. The race lacks major late-breaking shifts or competitive polling that would elevate Republican prospects. A significant national partisan swing, unexpected candidate withdrawal, or unusually high opposition turnout could narrow the gap, though structural advantages for the incumbent remain the dominant factor until closer to Election Day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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