**Nicolás Maduro remains in US federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn following his January 2026 capture by US forces during a military operation in Caracas.** He and his wife, Cilia Flores, face drug trafficking and firearms charges, which they deny, with a trial date set for 2027 after multiple pretrial hearings. Defense efforts to dismiss the case on immunity grounds or other procedural issues have not succeeded so far. Recent developments include Maduro’s August 2026 release of photos from detention and messages of resolve, alongside US-backed talks between Venezuela’s interim government under Delcy Rodríguez and opposition figures focused on political stabilization, prisoner releases, and eventual elections. These negotiations, combined with ongoing legal proceedings and potential diplomatic leverage tied to oil interests or broader transition deals, represent the main variables that could influence any future release timeline or conditions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$2,689,156 Vol.
30. Jan. 2026
31. Dezember
7%
$2,689,156 Vol.
31. Dezember
$293,707 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Nicolás Maduro remains in US federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn following his January 2026 capture by US forces during a military operation in Caracas.** He and his wife, Cilia Flores, face drug trafficking and firearms charges, which they deny, with a trial date set for 2027 after multiple pretrial hearings. Defense efforts to dismiss the case on immunity grounds or other procedural issues have not succeeded so far. Recent developments include Maduro’s August 2026 release of photos from detention and messages of resolve, alongside US-backed talks between Venezuela’s interim government under Delcy Rodríguez and opposition figures focused on political stabilization, prisoner releases, and eventual elections. These negotiations, combined with ongoing legal proceedings and potential diplomatic leverage tied to oil interests or broader transition deals, represent the main variables that could influence any future release timeline or conditions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
Volumen
$2,689,156Enddatum
31. Jan. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Nicolás Maduro remains in US federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn following his January 2026 capture by US forces during a military operation in Caracas.** He and his wife, Cilia Flores, face drug trafficking and firearms charges, which they deny, with a trial date set for 2027 after multiple pretrial hearings. Defense efforts to dismiss the case on immunity grounds or other procedural issues have not succeeded so far. Recent developments include Maduro’s August 2026 release of photos from detention and messages of resolve, alongside US-backed talks between Venezuela’s interim government under Delcy Rodríguez and opposition figures focused on political stabilization, prisoner releases, and eventual elections. These negotiations, combined with ongoing legal proceedings and potential diplomatic leverage tied to oil interests or broader transition deals, represent the main variables that could influence any future release timeline or conditions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$2,689,156Enddatum
31. Jan. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...**Nicolás Maduro remains in US federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn following his January 2026 capture by US forces during a military operation in Caracas.** He and his wife, Cilia Flores, face drug trafficking and firearms charges, which they deny, with a trial date set for 2027 after multiple pretrial hearings. Defense efforts to dismiss the case on immunity grounds or other procedural issues have not succeeded so far. Recent developments include Maduro’s August 2026 release of photos from detention and messages of resolve, alongside US-backed talks between Venezuela’s interim government under Delcy Rodríguez and opposition figures focused on political stabilization, prisoner releases, and eventual elections. These negotiations, combined with ongoing legal proceedings and potential diplomatic leverage tied to oil interests or broader transition deals, represent the main variables that could influence any future release timeline or conditions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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