Sweden's parliamentary election on September 13 positions Magdalena Andersson as the frontrunner for prime minister, with trader consensus reflecting sustained polling leads for the Social Democrats-led centre-left bloc over the incumbent right-wing Tidö government. Recent surveys show the opposition maintaining an edge on combined support around 50%, though the gap has narrowed in the campaign's final stretch amid voter priorities on crime, immigration, energy, and living costs. Ulf Kristersson's lower odds track his coalition's trailing position and the Liberals' risk of falling below the 4% threshold, limiting seat prospects. Other listed figures register minimal probabilities consistent with their parties' smaller roles in current bloc dynamics and preferred-leader surveys.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNächster Premierminister von Schweden
Nächster Premierminister von Schweden
Magdalena Andersson 79%
Ulf Kristersson 20%
Jimmie Åkesson <1%
Ebba Busch <1%
$4,731,844 Vol.
$4,731,844 Vol.
Magdalena Andersson
79%
Ulf Kristersson
20%
Jimmie Åkesson
<1%
Ebba Busch
<1%
Nooshi Dadgostar
<1%
Anna-Karin Hatt
<1%
Amanda Lind
<1%
Simona Mohamsson
<1%
Daniel Helldén
<1%
Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist
<1%
Magdalena Andersson 79%
Ulf Kristersson 20%
Jimmie Åkesson <1%
Ebba Busch <1%
$4,731,844 Vol.
$4,731,844 Vol.
Magdalena Andersson
79%
Ulf Kristersson
20%
Jimmie Åkesson
<1%
Ebba Busch
<1%
Nooshi Dadgostar
<1%
Anna-Karin Hatt
<1%
Amanda Lind
<1%
Simona Mohamsson
<1%
Daniel Helldén
<1%
Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist
<1%
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET
Abwickler
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Abwickler
0x2F5e3684c...Sweden's parliamentary election on September 13 positions Magdalena Andersson as the frontrunner for prime minister, with trader consensus reflecting sustained polling leads for the Social Democrats-led centre-left bloc over the incumbent right-wing Tidö government. Recent surveys show the opposition maintaining an edge on combined support around 50%, though the gap has narrowed in the campaign's final stretch amid voter priorities on crime, immigration, energy, and living costs. Ulf Kristersson's lower odds track his coalition's trailing position and the Liberals' risk of falling below the 4% threshold, limiting seat prospects. Other listed figures register minimal probabilities consistent with their parties' smaller roles in current bloc dynamics and preferred-leader surveys.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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