Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election is the central driver of current pricing, with polls showing the centre-left opposition bloc holding a narrow lead over the incumbent Tidö government of Moderates, Christian Democrats, Liberals, and Sweden Democrats support. Magdalena Andersson’s Social Democrats remain the largest party in surveys, and her personal favourability ratings exceed those of Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson, reflecting voter concerns over the economy, welfare, crime, and migration during the current term. Recent tightening in the gap has kept a right-wing majority mathematically possible, yet the implied probability for Kristersson’s return has declined as smaller coalition partners struggle near the 4% threshold. Coalition negotiations after the vote will determine the next prime minister, with Andersson positioned to lead a red-green arrangement if the opposition secures a majority of seats.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNächster Premierminister von Schweden
Magdalena Andersson 81%
Ulf Kristersson 19%
Jimmie Åkesson <1%
Ebba Busch <1%
$4,738,401 Vol.
$4,738,401 Vol.

Magdalena Andersson
81%

Ulf Kristersson
19%

Jimmie Åkesson
<1%

Ebba Busch
<1%

Nooshi Dadgostar
<1%

Anna-Karin Hatt
<1%

Amanda Lind
<1%

Simona Mohamsson
<1%

Daniel Helldén
<1%

Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist
<1%
Magdalena Andersson 81%
Ulf Kristersson 19%
Jimmie Åkesson <1%
Ebba Busch <1%
$4,738,401 Vol.
$4,738,401 Vol.

Magdalena Andersson
81%

Ulf Kristersson
19%

Jimmie Åkesson
<1%

Ebba Busch
<1%

Nooshi Dadgostar
<1%

Anna-Karin Hatt
<1%

Amanda Lind
<1%

Simona Mohamsson
<1%

Daniel Helldén
<1%

Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist
<1%
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET
Abwickler
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Abwickler
0x2F5e3684c...Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election is the central driver of current pricing, with polls showing the centre-left opposition bloc holding a narrow lead over the incumbent Tidö government of Moderates, Christian Democrats, Liberals, and Sweden Democrats support. Magdalena Andersson’s Social Democrats remain the largest party in surveys, and her personal favourability ratings exceed those of Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson, reflecting voter concerns over the economy, welfare, crime, and migration during the current term. Recent tightening in the gap has kept a right-wing majority mathematically possible, yet the implied probability for Kristersson’s return has declined as smaller coalition partners struggle near the 4% threshold. Coalition negotiations after the vote will determine the next prime minister, with Andersson positioned to lead a red-green arrangement if the opposition secures a majority of seats.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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