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Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?

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Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?

Chris Hipkins 50%

Christopher Luxon 39%

Nicola Willis 5.1%

Winston Peters 2.0%

Polymarket

$24,563 Vol.

Chris Hipkins 50%

Christopher Luxon 39%

Nicola Willis 5.1%

Winston Peters 2.0%

Polymarket

$24,563 Vol.

icon for Chris Hipkins

Chris Hipkins

$9,368 Vol.

50%

icon for Christopher Luxon

Christopher Luxon

$5,685 Vol.

39%

icon for Nicola Willis

Nicola Willis

$3,633 Vol.

5%

icon for Winston Peters

Winston Peters

$2,033 Vol.

2%

icon for Carmel Sepuloni

Carmel Sepuloni

$1,370 Vol.

1%

icon for Chlöe Swarbrick

Chlöe Swarbrick

$1,289 Vol.

1%

icon for David Seymour

David Seymour

$1,185 Vol.

1%

A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of New Zealand following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the Governor-General as Prime Minister of New Zealand. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of New Zealand; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polling for New Zealand’s 7 November 2026 general election shows Labour ahead or tied with the National-led coalition on party vote, with Chris Hipkins holding a consistent edge in preferred prime minister surveys. Christopher Luxon’s personal ratings remain low amid repeated internal National caucus challenges, including an August 2026 leadership vote he survived after gaffes and coalition strains. Cost-of-living pressures and mixed economic indicators have narrowed the government’s lead from its post-2023 position, boosting Labour’s prospects under Hipkins. Minor-party leaders and potential successors such as Nicola Willis register limited support, reflecting limited shifts in voter preference or coalition dynamics near the election.

A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of New Zealand following the 2026 General elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the Governor-General as Prime Minister of New Zealand. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of New Zealand; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$24,563
Enddatum
7. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 29, 2026, 7:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of New Zealand following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the Governor-General as Prime Minister of New Zealand. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of New Zealand; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of New Zealand following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the Governor-General as Prime Minister of New Zealand. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of New Zealand; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polling for New Zealand’s 7 November 2026 general election shows Labour ahead or tied with the National-led coalition on party vote, with Chris Hipkins holding a consistent edge in preferred prime minister surveys. Christopher Luxon’s personal ratings remain low amid repeated internal National caucus challenges, including an August 2026 leadership vote he survived after gaffes and coalition strains. Cost-of-living pressures and mixed economic indicators have narrowed the government’s lead from its post-2023 position, boosting Labour’s prospects under Hipkins. Minor-party leaders and potential successors such as Nicola Willis register limited support, reflecting limited shifts in voter preference or coalition dynamics near the election.

A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of New Zealand following the 2026 General elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the Governor-General as Prime Minister of New Zealand. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of New Zealand; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$24,563
Enddatum
7. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 29, 2026, 7:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of New Zealand following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the Governor-General as Prime Minister of New Zealand. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of New Zealand; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Verwandte

icon for Will Green Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?

Will Green Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?

59%
icon for Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

37%
icon for Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

55%

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 7 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Chris Hipkins" mit 50%, gefolgt von „Christopher Luxon" mit 39%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 50¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 50% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $24.6K generiert, seit der Markt am Apr 29, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 7 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?" ist „Chris Hipkins" mit 50%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 50% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Christopher Luxon" mit 39%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.