Microsoft shares closed at $390.74 on June 12, 2026, following a sharp pullback from levels above $428 earlier in the month and a broader 2026 decline that has left the stock down roughly 15-30% year-to-date amid concerns over elevated AI-related capital expenditures. With the next earnings release not scheduled until July 29, near-term price action for the June 15 week close is expected to track broader tech-sector sentiment, Treasury yields, and any incremental updates on cloud or AI demand. The heaviest market-implied probability on the $380–$390 bin aligns with the recent trading range and typical weekly volatility, while elevated odds on the >$440 outcome reflect residual upside optionality if risk appetite improves or positive macro data emerges. Lower-probability bins below $370 capture downside scenarios tied to continued rotation out of high-valuation growth names.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertMicrosoft (MSFT) closes week of Jun 15 at ___?
Microsoft (MSFT) closes week of Jun 15 at ___?
$380-$390 31%
$390-$400 30%
$400-$410 15%
$370-$380 15%
NEU
NEU
19. Juni 2026
<$350
11%
$350-$360
8%
$360-$370
7%
$370-$380
15%
$380-$390
31%
$390-$400
30%
$400-$410
15%
$410-$420
8%
$420-$430
7%
$430-$440
9%
>$440
11%
$380-$390 31%
$390-$400 30%
$400-$410 15%
$370-$380 15%
NEU
NEU
19. Juni 2026
<$350
$0 Vol.
11%
$350-$360
$0 Vol.
8%
$360-$370
$0 Vol.
7%
$370-$380
$0 Vol.
15%
$380-$390
$0 Vol.
31%
$390-$400
$0 Vol.
30%
$400-$410
$0 Vol.
15%
$410-$420
$0 Vol.
8%
$420-$430
$0 Vol.
7%
$430-$440
$0 Vol.
9%
>$440
$10 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."Microsoft shares closed at $390.74 on June 12, 2026, following a sharp pullback from levels above $428 earlier in the month and a broader 2026 decline that has left the stock down roughly 15-30% year-to-date amid concerns over elevated AI-related capital expenditures. With the next earnings release not scheduled until July 29, near-term price action for the June 15 week close is expected to track broader tech-sector sentiment, Treasury yields, and any incremental updates on cloud or AI demand. The heaviest market-implied probability on the $380–$390 bin aligns with the recent trading range and typical weekly volatility, while elevated odds on the >$440 outcome reflect residual upside optionality if risk appetite improves or positive macro data emerges. Lower-probability bins below $370 capture downside scenarios tied to continued rotation out of high-valuation growth names.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Markt eröffnet: Jun 12, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
Volumen
$10Enddatum
19. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 12, 2026, 6:23 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."Microsoft shares closed at $390.74 on June 12, 2026, following a sharp pullback from levels above $428 earlier in the month and a broader 2026 decline that has left the stock down roughly 15-30% year-to-date amid concerns over elevated AI-related capital expenditures. With the next earnings release not scheduled until July 29, near-term price action for the June 15 week close is expected to track broader tech-sector sentiment, Treasury yields, and any incremental updates on cloud or AI demand. The heaviest market-implied probability on the $380–$390 bin aligns with the recent trading range and typical weekly volatility, while elevated odds on the >$440 outcome reflect residual upside optionality if risk appetite improves or positive macro data emerges. Lower-probability bins below $370 capture downside scenarios tied to continued rotation out of high-valuation growth names.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volumen
$10Enddatum
19. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 12, 2026, 6:23 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Microsoft shares closed at $390.74 on June 12, 2026, following a sharp pullback from levels above $428 earlier in the month and a broader 2026 decline that has left the stock down roughly 15-30% year-to-date amid concerns over elevated AI-related capital expenditures. With the next earnings release not scheduled until July 29, near-term price action for the June 15 week close is expected to track broader tech-sector sentiment, Treasury yields, and any incremental updates on cloud or AI demand. The heaviest market-implied probability on the $380–$390 bin aligns with the recent trading range and typical weekly volatility, while elevated odds on the >$440 outcome reflect residual upside optionality if risk appetite improves or positive macro data emerges. Lower-probability bins below $370 capture downside scenarios tied to continued rotation out of high-valuation growth names.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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