Recent U.S. jobs data showing robust May gains has shifted trader focus toward higher odds of a Federal Reserve rate hike before year-end, now at 72% per FedWatch, lifting Treasury yields and increasing gold's opportunity cost as a non-yielding asset. Gold futures (GC) currently trade near $4,330–$4,360 per ounce, down from earlier 2026 highs above $5,500 amid volatility. Persistent central bank buying and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East provide underlying support, yet near-term sentiment hinges on inflation prints and FOMC signals that could alter the monetary policy path through June. Market-implied odds reflect this balance of hawkish rate expectations against structural demand.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWas wird Gold (GC) __ bis Ende Juni erreichen?
$5,863,765 Vol.
↑ $10.000
<1%
↑ $9.000
<1%
↑ $8.500
<1%
↑ $8.000
<1%
↑ $7.000
<1%
↑ $6.500
<1%
↑ $6.200
1%
↑ $6.000
1%
↑ $5.700
1%
↑ $5.500
1%
↑ $5.400
1%
↑ $5.300
2%
↑ $5.200
1%
↑ $5.100
2%
↑ $5.000
3%
↑ $4.900
5%
↑ 4.800 $
8%
↓ $4.300
74%
↓ $4.200
37%
↓ 3.800 $
5%
↓ $3.400
1%
$5,863,765 Vol.
↑ $10.000
<1%
↑ $9.000
<1%
↑ $8.500
<1%
↑ $8.000
<1%
↑ $7.000
<1%
↑ $6.500
<1%
↑ $6.200
1%
↑ $6.000
1%
↑ $5.700
1%
↑ $5.500
1%
↑ $5.400
1%
↑ $5.300
2%
↑ $5.200
1%
↑ $5.100
2%
↑ $5.000
3%
↑ $4.900
5%
↑ 4.800 $
8%
↓ $4.300
74%
↓ $4.200
37%
↓ 3.800 $
5%
↓ $3.400
1%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 29, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S. jobs data showing robust May gains has shifted trader focus toward higher odds of a Federal Reserve rate hike before year-end, now at 72% per FedWatch, lifting Treasury yields and increasing gold's opportunity cost as a non-yielding asset. Gold futures (GC) currently trade near $4,330–$4,360 per ounce, down from earlier 2026 highs above $5,500 amid volatility. Persistent central bank buying and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East provide underlying support, yet near-term sentiment hinges on inflation prints and FOMC signals that could alter the monetary policy path through June. Market-implied odds reflect this balance of hawkish rate expectations against structural demand.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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