Democratic incumbent Kelly Morrison holds a commanding lead in Minnesota's 3rd congressional district, a suburban Twin Cities seat that has trended strongly Democratic in recent cycles and carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+11. The district delivered a 21-point margin for the Democratic presidential nominee in 2024, and Morrison won her initial term by nearly 17 points. Republican nominee Tyler Bass secured his party's nomination in the August 11 primary, yet forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic based on structural advantages including incumbency, fundraising, and voter composition. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats reflects these baseline factors, though late developments such as a major scandal, significant national political shift, or unexpected turnout surge could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertMN-03 Wahlsieger
MN-03 Wahlsieger
$17,231 Vol.
$17,231 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
94%
Republikanische Partei
6%
$17,231 Vol.
$17,231 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$7,709 Vol.
94%
Republikanische Partei
$9,522 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Kelly Morrison holds a commanding lead in Minnesota's 3rd congressional district, a suburban Twin Cities seat that has trended strongly Democratic in recent cycles and carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+11. The district delivered a 21-point margin for the Democratic presidential nominee in 2024, and Morrison won her initial term by nearly 17 points. Republican nominee Tyler Bass secured his party's nomination in the August 11 primary, yet forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic based on structural advantages including incumbency, fundraising, and voter composition. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats reflects these baseline factors, though late developments such as a major scandal, significant national political shift, or unexpected turnout surge could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$17,231Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Kelly Morrison holds a commanding lead in Minnesota's 3rd congressional district, a suburban Twin Cities seat that has trended strongly Democratic in recent cycles and carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+11. The district delivered a 21-point margin for the Democratic presidential nominee in 2024, and Morrison won her initial term by nearly 17 points. Republican nominee Tyler Bass secured his party's nomination in the August 11 primary, yet forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic based on structural advantages including incumbency, fundraising, and voter composition. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats reflects these baseline factors, though late developments such as a major scandal, significant national political shift, or unexpected turnout surge could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$17,231Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Kelly Morrison holds a commanding lead in Minnesota's 3rd congressional district, a suburban Twin Cities seat that has trended strongly Democratic in recent cycles and carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+11. The district delivered a 21-point margin for the Democratic presidential nominee in 2024, and Morrison won her initial term by nearly 17 points. Republican nominee Tyler Bass secured his party's nomination in the August 11 primary, yet forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic based on structural advantages including incumbency, fundraising, and voter composition. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats reflects these baseline factors, though late developments such as a major scandal, significant national political shift, or unexpected turnout surge could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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