Incumbent Republican Lisa McClain faces Democratic nominee Ray Pooley in Michigan's 9th congressional district, a seat encompassing The Thumb region and northern Detroit exurbs with a Republican-leaning partisan voting index. McClain secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the August 4 primary and holds a solid Republican rating from the Cook Political Report, reflecting consistent district voting patterns and her established position within the House Republican Conference. Traders assign the Republican Party a 92% implied probability of holding the seat, consistent with the absence of competitive primary challenges or recent polling shifts. A major national political realignment, unexpected scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout in suburban areas remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertMI-09 Wahlsieger
MI-09 Wahlsieger
$24,140 Vol.
$24,140 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
92%
Demokratische Partei
6%
$24,140 Vol.
$24,140 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$17,588 Vol.
92%
Demokratische Partei
$6,552 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Lisa McClain faces Democratic nominee Ray Pooley in Michigan's 9th congressional district, a seat encompassing The Thumb region and northern Detroit exurbs with a Republican-leaning partisan voting index. McClain secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the August 4 primary and holds a solid Republican rating from the Cook Political Report, reflecting consistent district voting patterns and her established position within the House Republican Conference. Traders assign the Republican Party a 92% implied probability of holding the seat, consistent with the absence of competitive primary challenges or recent polling shifts. A major national political realignment, unexpected scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout in suburban areas remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$24,140Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Lisa McClain faces Democratic nominee Ray Pooley in Michigan's 9th congressional district, a seat encompassing The Thumb region and northern Detroit exurbs with a Republican-leaning partisan voting index. McClain secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the August 4 primary and holds a solid Republican rating from the Cook Political Report, reflecting consistent district voting patterns and her established position within the House Republican Conference. Traders assign the Republican Party a 92% implied probability of holding the seat, consistent with the absence of competitive primary challenges or recent polling shifts. A major national political realignment, unexpected scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout in suburban areas remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$24,140Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Lisa McClain faces Democratic nominee Ray Pooley in Michigan's 9th congressional district, a seat encompassing The Thumb region and northern Detroit exurbs with a Republican-leaning partisan voting index. McClain secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the August 4 primary and holds a solid Republican rating from the Cook Political Report, reflecting consistent district voting patterns and her established position within the House Republican Conference. Traders assign the Republican Party a 92% implied probability of holding the seat, consistent with the absence of competitive primary challenges or recent polling shifts. A major national political realignment, unexpected scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout in suburban areas remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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