Recent official forecasts from sources like GFS and ECMWF consensus place Munich's overnight low for September 19 near 10–12°C under partly cloudy skies, light southwest winds, and high pressure favoring moderate radiative cooling without significant cold advection. This aligns with historical September averages around 9.7°C while reflecting the month's warmer-than-normal pattern. Model spread in boundary layer mixing and cloud cover introduces uncertainty, sustaining near-even implied probabilities across the 7–13°C range alongside comparable odds for outliers below 6°C or above 16°C. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 12–24 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to the official minimum reading.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in München am 19. September?
6°C oder weniger 75%
16°C oder höher 75%
11°C 39%
12°C 39%
6°C oder weniger
75%
7°C
25%
8°C
25%
9°C
23%
10°C
16%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C
39%
14°C
13%
15°C
13%
16°C oder höher
75%
6°C oder weniger 75%
16°C oder höher 75%
11°C 39%
12°C 39%
6°C oder weniger
75%
7°C
25%
8°C
25%
9°C
23%
10°C
16%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C
39%
14°C
13%
15°C
13%
16°C oder höher
75%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources like GFS and ECMWF consensus place Munich's overnight low for September 19 near 10–12°C under partly cloudy skies, light southwest winds, and high pressure favoring moderate radiative cooling without significant cold advection. This aligns with historical September averages around 9.7°C while reflecting the month's warmer-than-normal pattern. Model spread in boundary layer mixing and cloud cover introduces uncertainty, sustaining near-even implied probabilities across the 7–13°C range alongside comparable odds for outliers below 6°C or above 16°C. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 12–24 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to the official minimum reading.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen