Recent forecasts from global models show Moscow's overnight minimum on September 18, 2026, likely falling between 9–12 °C amid light southwesterly winds, variable cloud cover, and scattered light rain that limits radiative cooling. These conditions produce the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 7–12 °C, as small shifts in cloud timing or wind speed can alter the nocturnal temperature drop by 2–3 °C. Ensemble guidance indicates modest uncertainty from model spread on boundary-layer moisture and frontal passage, keeping probabilities for sub-5 °C outcomes near 45 % while rendering 13 °C or higher highly improbable. Historical September minima average near 8–10 °C, providing context for the current trader consensus.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Moskau am 18. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Moskau am 18. September?
5°C oder darunter 100%
8°C 100%
7°C 97%
11°C 49%
NEU
NEU
18. Sep. 2026
5°C oder darunter
100%
6°C
18%
7°C
97%
8°C
100%
9°C
48%
10°C
48%
11°C
49%
12°C
49%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C oder höher
<1%
5°C oder darunter 100%
8°C 100%
7°C 97%
11°C 49%
NEU
NEU
18. Sep. 2026
5°C oder darunter
$0 Vol.
100%
6°C
$0 Vol.
18%
7°C
$15 Vol.
97%
8°C
$0 Vol.
100%
9°C
$0 Vol.
48%
10°C
$0 Vol.
48%
11°C
$0 Vol.
49%
12°C
$0 Vol.
49%
13°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
15°C oder höher
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models show Moscow's overnight minimum on September 18, 2026, likely falling between 9–12 °C amid light southwesterly winds, variable cloud cover, and scattered light rain that limits radiative cooling. These conditions produce the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 7–12 °C, as small shifts in cloud timing or wind speed can alter the nocturnal temperature drop by 2–3 °C. Ensemble guidance indicates modest uncertainty from model spread on boundary-layer moisture and frontal passage, keeping probabilities for sub-5 °C outcomes near 45 % while rendering 13 °C or higher highly improbable. Historical September minima average near 8–10 °C, providing context for the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$76Enddatum
18. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models show Moscow's overnight minimum on September 18, 2026, likely falling between 9–12 °C amid light southwesterly winds, variable cloud cover, and scattered light rain that limits radiative cooling. These conditions produce the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 7–12 °C, as small shifts in cloud timing or wind speed can alter the nocturnal temperature drop by 2–3 °C. Ensemble guidance indicates modest uncertainty from model spread on boundary-layer moisture and frontal passage, keeping probabilities for sub-5 °C outcomes near 45 % while rendering 13 °C or higher highly improbable. Historical September minima average near 8–10 °C, providing context for the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$76Enddatum
18. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global models show Moscow's overnight minimum on September 18, 2026, likely falling between 9–12 °C amid light southwesterly winds, variable cloud cover, and scattered light rain that limits radiative cooling. These conditions produce the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 7–12 °C, as small shifts in cloud timing or wind speed can alter the nocturnal temperature drop by 2–3 °C. Ensemble guidance indicates modest uncertainty from model spread on boundary-layer moisture and frontal passage, keeping probabilities for sub-5 °C outcomes near 45 % while rendering 13 °C or higher highly improbable. Historical September minima average near 8–10 °C, providing context for the current trader consensus.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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