**Market-implied odds favor a Miami low on September 17 in the upper 70s, led by 78-79°F at 41% and 76-77°F at 31%.** Official National Weather Service and NOAA guidance show overnight lows near 80–82°F under scattered thunderstorms, persistent cloud cover, and moderate northeast winds of 10–15 mph that limit radiative cooling. Easterly flow and high humidity maintain elevated minimums, while model runs highlight potential for slightly cooler readings if heavier showers develop overnight. These conditions align with typical mid-September patterns where average lows hover near 77°F, though recent moisture and wind patterns support the market’s emphasis on the upper-70s range over cooler or warmer outliers. Traders are closely watching afternoon convection updates and any revised NWS point forecasts that could shift the daily minimum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Miami am 17. September?
78-79°F 40%
76-77°F 20%
74-75°F 17%
72–73 °F 16.1%
71°F oder darunter
1%
72–73 °F
16%
74-75°F
22%
76-77°F
32%
78-79°F
42%
80-81°F
7%
82-83°F
10%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90°F oder höher
<1%
78-79°F 40%
76-77°F 20%
74-75°F 17%
72–73 °F 16.1%
71°F oder darunter
1%
72–73 °F
16%
74-75°F
22%
76-77°F
32%
78-79°F
42%
80-81°F
7%
82-83°F
10%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90°F oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 15, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Market-implied odds favor a Miami low on September 17 in the upper 70s, led by 78-79°F at 41% and 76-77°F at 31%.** Official National Weather Service and NOAA guidance show overnight lows near 80–82°F under scattered thunderstorms, persistent cloud cover, and moderate northeast winds of 10–15 mph that limit radiative cooling. Easterly flow and high humidity maintain elevated minimums, while model runs highlight potential for slightly cooler readings if heavier showers develop overnight. These conditions align with typical mid-September patterns where average lows hover near 77°F, though recent moisture and wind patterns support the market’s emphasis on the upper-70s range over cooler or warmer outliers. Traders are closely watching afternoon convection updates and any revised NWS point forecasts that could shift the daily minimum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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