**Current forecast models from sources like AEMET and GFS show Madrid’s overnight low on September 17, 2026, centered near 15°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds of 4–6 m/s, and dry conditions favoring radiative cooling.** This produces the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 13–16°C. Minor differences in model resolution of boundary-layer mixing, dew-point depression, or exact timing of minimum temperature explain the near-even probabilities across those bins. The city’s urban heat island typically raises official station readings 1–2°C above surrounding rural sites, while historical climatology lists a 15.3°C average low for the date. No incoming fronts or moisture are expected to alter the nocturnal temperature profile before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Madrid am 17. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Madrid am 17. September?
13°C 49%
14°C 49%
16°C 48%
12°C oder darunter 47%
NEU
NEU
17. Sep. 2026
12°C oder darunter
47%
13°C
49%
14°C
49%
15°C
48%
16°C
48%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C oder höher
<1%
13°C 49%
14°C 49%
16°C 48%
12°C oder darunter 47%
NEU
NEU
17. Sep. 2026
12°C oder darunter
$46 Vol.
47%
13°C
$1 Vol.
49%
14°C
$4 Vol.
49%
15°C
$17 Vol.
48%
16°C
$0 Vol.
48%
17°C
$57 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$16 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$57 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$57 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$41 Vol.
<1%
22°C oder höher
$41 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models from sources like AEMET and GFS show Madrid’s overnight low on September 17, 2026, centered near 15°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds of 4–6 m/s, and dry conditions favoring radiative cooling.**
This produces the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 13–16°C. Minor differences in model resolution of boundary-layer mixing, dew-point depression, or exact timing of minimum temperature explain the near-even probabilities across those bins. The city’s urban heat island typically raises official station readings 1–2°C above surrounding rural sites, while historical climatology lists a 15.3°C average low for the date. No incoming fronts or moisture are expected to alter the nocturnal temperature profile before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$337Enddatum
17. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models from sources like AEMET and GFS show Madrid’s overnight low on September 17, 2026, centered near 15°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds of 4–6 m/s, and dry conditions favoring radiative cooling.**
This produces the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 13–16°C. Minor differences in model resolution of boundary-layer mixing, dew-point depression, or exact timing of minimum temperature explain the near-even probabilities across those bins. The city’s urban heat island typically raises official station readings 1–2°C above surrounding rural sites, while historical climatology lists a 15.3°C average low for the date. No incoming fronts or moisture are expected to alter the nocturnal temperature profile before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$337Enddatum
17. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast models from sources like AEMET and GFS show Madrid’s overnight low on September 17, 2026, centered near 15°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds of 4–6 m/s, and dry conditions favoring radiative cooling.** This produces the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 13–16°C. Minor differences in model resolution of boundary-layer mixing, dew-point depression, or exact timing of minimum temperature explain the near-even probabilities across those bins. The city’s urban heat island typically raises official station readings 1–2°C above surrounding rural sites, while historical climatology lists a 15.3°C average low for the date. No incoming fronts or moisture are expected to alter the nocturnal temperature profile before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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