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icon for Gewinner der lettischen Parlamentswahl
Politik·Weltwahlen

Gewinner der lettischen Parlamentswahl

icon for Gewinner der lettischen Parlamentswahl
Politik·Weltwahlen

Gewinner der lettischen Parlamentswahl

AS 85.0%

SV 6.5%

PRO 2.5%

LPV 1.7%

Polymarket

$214,073 Vol.

AS 85.0%

SV 6.5%

PRO 2.5%

LPV 1.7%

Polymarket

$214,073 Vol.

AS

$37,409 Vol.

85%

SV

$28,092 Vol.

7%

PRO

$31,586 Vol.

3%

LPV

$26,109 Vol.

2%

NA

$10,303 Vol.

1%

S

$6,655 Vol.

<1%

JV

$13,771 Vol.

<1%

ZZS

$55,279 Vol.

<1%

ST!

$4,870 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election. In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).**AS (Apvienotais Saraksts / United List) holds a commanding lead in trader pricing at 84.5%, reflecting its consistent polling advantage and incumbency as the party of Prime Minister Andris Kulbergs ahead of the October 3, 2026 Saeima election.** Recent polls, including Latvijas Fakti (late August) and SKDS (mid-August), show AS support in the 15–24% range, well ahead of SV (Sovereign Power/Union of New Latvians) at 9–17%, PRO (Progressives) at 8–14%, LPV (Latvia First) at 8–15%, and NA (National Alliance) at 6–11%. This positioning stems primarily from the May 2026 formation of a four-party centre-right coalition under Kulbergs after the prior government collapsed amid disputes over defence handling and stray drones, boosting AS visibility on security and stability issues. The campaign, now in its final month with early voting from September 28, features proportional representation where a 5% threshold applies and the leading party typically anchors coalition talks. AS benefits from governance momentum and voter focus on national security near the Russian border, while trailing parties face fragmentation and lower momentum in the latest surveys. Market odds align closely with these polling trends and historical patterns of incumbency effects in Latvian elections.

Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.

In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.

If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election. In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
Volumen
$214,073
Enddatum
3. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ET

Abwickler

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election. In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).**AS (Apvienotais Saraksts / United List) holds a commanding lead in trader pricing at 84.5%, reflecting its consistent polling advantage and incumbency as the party of Prime Minister Andris Kulbergs ahead of the October 3, 2026 Saeima election.** Recent polls, including Latvijas Fakti (late August) and SKDS (mid-August), show AS support in the 15–24% range, well ahead of SV (Sovereign Power/Union of New Latvians) at 9–17%, PRO (Progressives) at 8–14%, LPV (Latvia First) at 8–15%, and NA (National Alliance) at 6–11%. This positioning stems primarily from the May 2026 formation of a four-party centre-right coalition under Kulbergs after the prior government collapsed amid disputes over defence handling and stray drones, boosting AS visibility on security and stability issues. The campaign, now in its final month with early voting from September 28, features proportional representation where a 5% threshold applies and the leading party typically anchors coalition talks. AS benefits from governance momentum and voter focus on national security near the Russian border, while trailing parties face fragmentation and lower momentum in the latest surveys. Market odds align closely with these polling trends and historical patterns of incumbency effects in Latvian elections.

Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.

In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.

If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election. In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
Volumen
$214,073
Enddatum
3. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ET

Abwickler

0x2F5e3684c...

Verwandte

icon for Will SV come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?

Will SV come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?

52%
icon for Wird die Schwedische Sozialdemokratische Partei (S) bei der schwedischen Parlamentswahl 2026 die meisten Sitze gewinnen?

Wird die Schwedische Sozialdemokratische Partei (S) bei der schwedischen Parlamentswahl 2026 die meisten Sitze gewinnen?

98%
Ja
icon for Wird Einiges Russland (ER) die meisten Sitze bei der nächsten russischen Parlamentswahl gewinnen?

Wird Einiges Russland (ER) die meisten Sitze bei der nächsten russischen Parlamentswahl gewinnen?

99%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Gewinner der lettischen Parlamentswahl" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 9 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „AS" mit 85%, gefolgt von „SV" mit 7%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 85¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 85% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Gewinner der lettischen Parlamentswahl" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $214.1K generiert, seit der Markt am Dec 16, 2025 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Gewinner der lettischen Parlamentswahl" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 9 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Gewinner der lettischen Parlamentswahl" ist „AS" mit 85%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 85% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „SV" mit 7%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Gewinner der lettischen Parlamentswahl" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.