The assassination of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in March 2026 and succession by Mojtaba Khamenei shifted management of the primary @khamenei_ir account toward infrequent reposts of archival material rather than new statements. Trader consensus places the highest implied probability on fewer than five posts during the August 21–28 window, consistent with the established low-volume pattern observed in comparable recent periods. Activity has remained limited to occasional messages tied to religious commemorations or foreign policy themes, with no scheduled high-profile events or diplomatic developments expected to prompt increased output in the coming week. This baseline reflects institutional caution amid ongoing regional tensions and the successor’s limited public profile since taking office.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertKhamenei # posts 21. August - 28. August 2026?
Khamenei # posts 21. August - 28. August 2026?
50-54 49%
55-59 49%
Mehr als 60 49%
5-9 34%
NEU
NEU
28. Aug. 2026
<5
44%
5-9
34%
10-14
33%
15-19
33%
20-24
33%
25-29
33%
30-34
33%
35-39
33%
40-44
33%
45-49
33%
50-54
49%
55-59
49%
Mehr als 60
49%
50-54 49%
55-59 49%
Mehr als 60 49%
5-9 34%
NEU
NEU
28. Aug. 2026
<5
$12 Vol.
44%
5-9
$0 Vol.
34%
10-14
$0 Vol.
33%
15-19
$0 Vol.
33%
20-24
$0 Vol.
33%
25-29
$0 Vol.
33%
30-34
$0 Vol.
33%
35-39
$0 Vol.
33%
40-44
$0 Vol.
33%
45-49
$0 Vol.
33%
50-54
$5 Vol.
49%
55-59
$5 Vol.
49%
Mehr als 60
$5 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The assassination of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in March 2026 and succession by Mojtaba Khamenei shifted management of the primary @khamenei_ir account toward infrequent reposts of archival material rather than new statements. Trader consensus places the highest implied probability on fewer than five posts during the August 21–28 window, consistent with the established low-volume pattern observed in comparable recent periods. Activity has remained limited to occasional messages tied to religious commemorations or foreign policy themes, with no scheduled high-profile events or diplomatic developments expected to prompt increased output in the coming week. This baseline reflects institutional caution amid ongoing regional tensions and the successor’s limited public profile since taking office.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volumen
$27Enddatum
28. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The assassination of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in March 2026 and succession by Mojtaba Khamenei shifted management of the primary @khamenei_ir account toward infrequent reposts of archival material rather than new statements. Trader consensus places the highest implied probability on fewer than five posts during the August 21–28 window, consistent with the established low-volume pattern observed in comparable recent periods. Activity has remained limited to occasional messages tied to religious commemorations or foreign policy themes, with no scheduled high-profile events or diplomatic developments expected to prompt increased output in the coming week. This baseline reflects institutional caution amid ongoing regional tensions and the successor’s limited public profile since taking office.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$27Enddatum
28. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...The assassination of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in March 2026 and succession by Mojtaba Khamenei shifted management of the primary @khamenei_ir account toward infrequent reposts of archival material rather than new statements. Trader consensus places the highest implied probability on fewer than five posts during the August 21–28 window, consistent with the established low-volume pattern observed in comparable recent periods. Activity has remained limited to occasional messages tied to religious commemorations or foreign policy themes, with no scheduled high-profile events or diplomatic developments expected to prompt increased output in the coming week. This baseline reflects institutional caution amid ongoing regional tensions and the successor’s limited public profile since taking office.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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