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icon for Israelische Streitkräfte ziehen sich von jenseits des Litani-Flusses zurück durch...?

Israelische Streitkräfte ziehen sich von jenseits des Litani-Flusses zurück durch...?

icon for Israelische Streitkräfte ziehen sich von jenseits des Litani-Flusses zurück durch...?

Israelische Streitkräfte ziehen sich von jenseits des Litani-Flusses zurück durch...?

$1,191,775 Vol.

31. Dez. 2026
Polymarket

$1,191,775 Vol.

Polymarket

December 31

$350,557 Vol.

17%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.**Israeli forces have maintained a security buffer in southern Lebanon since operations expanded in 2026, with a June 26 trilateral framework agreement establishing limited pilot zones for phased redeployment tied to verifiable Hezbollah disarmament and Lebanese Armed Forces deployment rather than fixed timelines.** Under the deal, Israel committed to withdrawing from two small areas—one north and one south of the Litani River—recommended by the IDF as non-essential, allowing LAF entry as a test. Israeli officials, including Prime Minister Netanyahu, have repeatedly stated that the broader buffer zone will remain until threats from Hezbollah are eliminated, with further steps conditioned on results monitored by a U.S.-facilitated coordination group. Implementation of the pilots began in late June and was projected to take weeks, amid continued Israeli strikes on perceived threats. As of early September 2026, no major additional withdrawals beyond these zones have been reported, reflecting the conditions-based approach that prioritizes security outcomes over rapid territorial concessions.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
Volumen
$1,191,775
Enddatum
1. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jun 22, 2026, 9:44 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.**Israeli forces have maintained a security buffer in southern Lebanon since operations expanded in 2026, with a June 26 trilateral framework agreement establishing limited pilot zones for phased redeployment tied to verifiable Hezbollah disarmament and Lebanese Armed Forces deployment rather than fixed timelines.** Under the deal, Israel committed to withdrawing from two small areas—one north and one south of the Litani River—recommended by the IDF as non-essential, allowing LAF entry as a test. Israeli officials, including Prime Minister Netanyahu, have repeatedly stated that the broader buffer zone will remain until threats from Hezbollah are eliminated, with further steps conditioned on results monitored by a U.S.-facilitated coordination group. Implementation of the pilots began in late June and was projected to take weeks, amid continued Israeli strikes on perceived threats. As of early September 2026, no major additional withdrawals beyond these zones have been reported, reflecting the conditions-based approach that prioritizes security outcomes over rapid territorial concessions.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
Volumen
$1,191,775
Enddatum
1. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jun 22, 2026, 9:44 PM ET

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Israelische Streitkräfte ziehen sich von jenseits des Litani-Flusses zurück durch...?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 5 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „December 31" mit 17%, gefolgt von „15. Juni" mit 0%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 17¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 17% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Israelische Streitkräfte ziehen sich von jenseits des Litani-Flusses zurück durch...?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $1.2 million generiert, seit der Markt am Jun 7, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Israelische Streitkräfte ziehen sich von jenseits des Litani-Flusses zurück durch...?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 5 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Israelische Streitkräfte ziehen sich von jenseits des Litani-Flusses zurück durch...?" ist „December 31" mit 17%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 17% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „15. Juni" mit 0%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Israelische Streitkräfte ziehen sich von jenseits des Litani-Flusses zurück durch...?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.