Recent official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a daytime high of 24°C for Tokyo on September 17, with morning rain transitioning to partly cloudy skies and northeasterly winds limiting solar heating. Multiple numerical models align on peak temperatures near this value amid seasonal autumn cooling, consistent with mid-September climatology where averages hover around 26–27°C but recent cloudy, moist conditions have suppressed readings. Trader positioning favoring 24°C (52.5% implied probability) over 25°C (34.5%) reflects this consensus, though minor variations in afternoon clearing could nudge the official maximum slightly higher. Resolution will hinge on the final JMA observational data from the Tokyo station.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tokio am 17. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Tokio am 17. September?
24°C 55%
25°C 35%
26°C 6%
23°C 6%
NEU
$25,971 Vol.
NEU
$25,971 Vol.
17. Sep. 2026
19°C oder niedriger
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
6%
24°C
55%
25°C
35%
26°C
6%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C oder höher
<1%
24°C 55%
25°C 35%
26°C 6%
23°C 6%
NEU
$25,971 Vol.
NEU
$25,971 Vol.
17. Sep. 2026
19°C oder niedriger
$1,314 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$883 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,439 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$4,234 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$5,411 Vol.
6%
24°C
$3,283 Vol.
55%
25°C
$3,739 Vol.
35%
26°C
$1,630 Vol.
6%
27°C
$1,293 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,007 Vol.
<1%
29°C oder höher
$1,738 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a daytime high of 24°C for Tokyo on September 17, with morning rain transitioning to partly cloudy skies and northeasterly winds limiting solar heating. Multiple numerical models align on peak temperatures near this value amid seasonal autumn cooling, consistent with mid-September climatology where averages hover around 26–27°C but recent cloudy, moist conditions have suppressed readings. Trader positioning favoring 24°C (52.5% implied probability) over 25°C (34.5%) reflects this consensus, though minor variations in afternoon clearing could nudge the official maximum slightly higher. Resolution will hinge on the final JMA observational data from the Tokyo station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$25,971Enddatum
17. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a daytime high of 24°C for Tokyo on September 17, with morning rain transitioning to partly cloudy skies and northeasterly winds limiting solar heating. Multiple numerical models align on peak temperatures near this value amid seasonal autumn cooling, consistent with mid-September climatology where averages hover around 26–27°C but recent cloudy, moist conditions have suppressed readings. Trader positioning favoring 24°C (52.5% implied probability) over 25°C (34.5%) reflects this consensus, though minor variations in afternoon clearing could nudge the official maximum slightly higher. Resolution will hinge on the final JMA observational data from the Tokyo station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$25,971Enddatum
17. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a daytime high of 24°C for Tokyo on September 17, with morning rain transitioning to partly cloudy skies and northeasterly winds limiting solar heating. Multiple numerical models align on peak temperatures near this value amid seasonal autumn cooling, consistent with mid-September climatology where averages hover around 26–27°C but recent cloudy, moist conditions have suppressed readings. Trader positioning favoring 24°C (52.5% implied probability) over 25°C (34.5%) reflects this consensus, though minor variations in afternoon clearing could nudge the official maximum slightly higher. Resolution will hinge on the final JMA observational data from the Tokyo station.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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