Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and Chinese meteorological services point to a peak temperature of 35–37°C in Shanghai on August 3, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and typical August monsoon humidity that limits overnight cooling. Model runs show minor disagreements on cloud cover and timing of any sea-breeze moderation, creating the tight clustering around 34–35°C in trader pricing. Historical August data place average highs near 32°C with frequent excursions above 35°C, but no major typhoon or cold front is expected in the immediate window to shift outcomes sharply. Updated numerical weather prediction runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Shanghai am 3. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Shanghai am 3. August?
35°C 37%
34°C 32%
33°C 16%
36°C 13%
NEU
NEU
3. Aug. 2026
29°C or below
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
6%
33°C
16%
34°C
32%
35°C
37%
36°C
13%
37°C
3%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
1%
35°C 37%
34°C 32%
33°C 16%
36°C 13%
NEU
NEU
3. Aug. 2026
29°C or below
$72 Vol.
1%
30°C
$15 Vol.
1%
31°C
$97 Vol.
2%
32°C
$81 Vol.
6%
33°C
$127 Vol.
16%
34°C
$412 Vol.
32%
35°C
$128 Vol.
37%
36°C
$174 Vol.
13%
37°C
$93 Vol.
3%
38°C
$92 Vol.
2%
39°C or higher
$87 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and Chinese meteorological services point to a peak temperature of 35–37°C in Shanghai on August 3, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and typical August monsoon humidity that limits overnight cooling. Model runs show minor disagreements on cloud cover and timing of any sea-breeze moderation, creating the tight clustering around 34–35°C in trader pricing. Historical August data place average highs near 32°C with frequent excursions above 35°C, but no major typhoon or cold front is expected in the immediate window to shift outcomes sharply. Updated numerical weather prediction runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$1,378Enddatum
3. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and Chinese meteorological services point to a peak temperature of 35–37°C in Shanghai on August 3, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and typical August monsoon humidity that limits overnight cooling. Model runs show minor disagreements on cloud cover and timing of any sea-breeze moderation, creating the tight clustering around 34–35°C in trader pricing. Historical August data place average highs near 32°C with frequent excursions above 35°C, but no major typhoon or cold front is expected in the immediate window to shift outcomes sharply. Updated numerical weather prediction runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,378Enddatum
3. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and Chinese meteorological services point to a peak temperature of 35–37°C in Shanghai on August 3, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and typical August monsoon humidity that limits overnight cooling. Model runs show minor disagreements on cloud cover and timing of any sea-breeze moderation, creating the tight clustering around 34–35°C in trader pricing. Historical August data place average highs near 32°C with frequent excursions above 35°C, but no major typhoon or cold front is expected in the immediate window to shift outcomes sharply. Updated numerical weather prediction runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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