**Trader consensus heavily favors a 28°C high in Qingdao on September 18, 2026, at 99.5% implied probability, reflecting real-time observational data and short-range model agreement from authoritative sources.** Current conditions feature partly cloudy skies, light southeast winds, and moderate humidity, with hourly readings climbing steadily toward a midday or early afternoon peak near this threshold—consistent with typical late-September climatology for the region, where average highs hover around 26°C. Official monitoring shows no significant deviations from stable synoptic patterns, minimizing upside or downside risks. The narrow window for revision stems from potential late-day measurement adjustments or station-specific reporting, though forecast confidence remains high given the proximity to resolution and lack of disruptive weather systems.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Qingdao am 18. September?
28°C 99.6%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
21°C oder weniger <1%
$22,706 Vol.
$22,706 Vol.
21°C oder weniger
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C oder höher
<1%
28°C 99.6%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
21°C oder weniger <1%
$22,706 Vol.
$22,706 Vol.
21°C oder weniger
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors a 28°C high in Qingdao on September 18, 2026, at 99.5% implied probability, reflecting real-time observational data and short-range model agreement from authoritative sources.** Current conditions feature partly cloudy skies, light southeast winds, and moderate humidity, with hourly readings climbing steadily toward a midday or early afternoon peak near this threshold—consistent with typical late-September climatology for the region, where average highs hover around 26°C. Official monitoring shows no significant deviations from stable synoptic patterns, minimizing upside or downside risks. The narrow window for revision stems from potential late-day measurement adjustments or station-specific reporting, though forecast confidence remains high given the proximity to resolution and lack of disruptive weather systems.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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