Latest official forecast guidance points to a high near 24°C in Paris on September 20 under mostly cloudy skies with light northwest winds and negligible precipitation risk, aligning with the market-implied odds favoring 23–25°C outcomes. Multiple model runs show only modest day-to-day adjustments tied to subtle shifts in cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, which explain the narrow spread among leading probabilities. Historical September averages near 21°C provide context for the elevated readings, while the absence of strong high-pressure ridging or warm advection limits upside potential beyond 25°C. Updated model consensus and observational data ahead of resolution will likely refine trader positioning around these thresholds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Paris am 20. September?
24°C 31%
22°C 28%
23°C 27%
25°C 16%
20°C oder niedriger
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
28%
23°C
27%
24°C
31%
25°C
16%
26°C
5%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C oder höher
<1%
24°C 31%
22°C 28%
23°C 27%
25°C 16%
20°C oder niedriger
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
28%
23°C
27%
24°C
31%
25°C
16%
26°C
5%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 18, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Latest official forecast guidance points to a high near 24°C in Paris on September 20 under mostly cloudy skies with light northwest winds and negligible precipitation risk, aligning with the market-implied odds favoring 23–25°C outcomes. Multiple model runs show only modest day-to-day adjustments tied to subtle shifts in cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, which explain the narrow spread among leading probabilities. Historical September averages near 21°C provide context for the elevated readings, while the absence of strong high-pressure ridging or warm advection limits upside potential beyond 25°C. Updated model consensus and observational data ahead of resolution will likely refine trader positioning around these thresholds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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