The closely matched trader probabilities for 30–31°C as the daily maximum in Panama City on July 24 stem from typical wet-season variability, where average July highs hover near 30°C amid high humidity and frequent afternoon convection. Recent model guidance shows no significant deviations from climatological norms, with cloud cover, scattered showers, and trade-wind patterns likely capping or slightly elevating peaks depending on timing of rainfall. These factors create genuine uncertainty around the 1°C threshold, as modest differences in insolation or storm development can shift the observed high between 29–32°C. Official station data from Panama’s meteorological service will determine resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Panama City am 24. Juli?
Höchste Temperatur in Panama City am 24. Juli?
31°C 38%
30°C 31%
29°C 17%
32°C 16%
NEU
NEU
24. Juli 2026
24°C oder weniger
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
17%
30°C
31%
31°C
38%
32°C
16%
33°C
2%
34°C oder höher
1%
31°C 38%
30°C 31%
29°C 17%
32°C 16%
NEU
NEU
24. Juli 2026
24°C oder weniger
$76 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$102 Vol.
1%
26°C
$78 Vol.
1%
27°C
$89 Vol.
1%
28°C
$68 Vol.
3%
29°C
$432 Vol.
17%
30°C
$172 Vol.
31%
31°C
$133 Vol.
38%
32°C
$234 Vol.
16%
33°C
$60 Vol.
2%
34°C oder höher
$132 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched trader probabilities for 30–31°C as the daily maximum in Panama City on July 24 stem from typical wet-season variability, where average July highs hover near 30°C amid high humidity and frequent afternoon convection. Recent model guidance shows no significant deviations from climatological norms, with cloud cover, scattered showers, and trade-wind patterns likely capping or slightly elevating peaks depending on timing of rainfall. These factors create genuine uncertainty around the 1°C threshold, as modest differences in insolation or storm development can shift the observed high between 29–32°C. Official station data from Panama’s meteorological service will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 22, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volumen
$1,577Enddatum
24. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 22, 2026, 9:03 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched trader probabilities for 30–31°C as the daily maximum in Panama City on July 24 stem from typical wet-season variability, where average July highs hover near 30°C amid high humidity and frequent afternoon convection. Recent model guidance shows no significant deviations from climatological norms, with cloud cover, scattered showers, and trade-wind patterns likely capping or slightly elevating peaks depending on timing of rainfall. These factors create genuine uncertainty around the 1°C threshold, as modest differences in insolation or storm development can shift the observed high between 29–32°C. Official station data from Panama’s meteorological service will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,577Enddatum
24. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 22, 2026, 9:03 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched trader probabilities for 30–31°C as the daily maximum in Panama City on July 24 stem from typical wet-season variability, where average July highs hover near 30°C amid high humidity and frequent afternoon convection. Recent model guidance shows no significant deviations from climatological norms, with cloud cover, scattered showers, and trade-wind patterns likely capping or slightly elevating peaks depending on timing of rainfall. These factors create genuine uncertainty around the 1°C threshold, as modest differences in insolation or storm development can shift the observed high between 29–32°C. Official station data from Panama’s meteorological service will determine resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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