Persistent upper-level ridging over North Texas is driving clear skies, strong solar insolation, and minimal cloud cover, sustaining a heat wave with official NWS guidance forecasting a Dallas high near 104°F on July 22 amid daytime temperatures already reaching the low 100s. Low soil moisture from prolonged dry conditions amplifies surface heating, pushing readings above the July normal of 96°F. Recent model consensus from NWS and AccuWeather supports the market's leading 104-105°F bin at 48% implied probability, while slight upside potential for 106-107°F reflects variability in steering patterns and any last-minute ridge strengthening before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Dallas am 22. Juli?
104-105°F 44%
106-107°F 32%
102-103°F 12%
108-109°F 12%
$26,323 Vol.
$26,323 Vol.
95°F or below
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
2%
102-103°F
12%
104-105°F
44%
106-107°F
32%
108-109°F
12%
110-111°F
2%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F or higher
<1%
104-105°F 44%
106-107°F 32%
102-103°F 12%
108-109°F 12%
$26,323 Vol.
$26,323 Vol.
95°F or below
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
2%
102-103°F
12%
104-105°F
44%
106-107°F
32%
108-109°F
12%
110-111°F
2%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 20, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent upper-level ridging over North Texas is driving clear skies, strong solar insolation, and minimal cloud cover, sustaining a heat wave with official NWS guidance forecasting a Dallas high near 104°F on July 22 amid daytime temperatures already reaching the low 100s. Low soil moisture from prolonged dry conditions amplifies surface heating, pushing readings above the July normal of 96°F. Recent model consensus from NWS and AccuWeather supports the market's leading 104-105°F bin at 48% implied probability, while slight upside potential for 106-107°F reflects variability in steering patterns and any last-minute ridge strengthening before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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