**Databricks CEO Ali Ghodsi explicitly stated in early June 2026 that the company would avoid an IPO this year amid a crowded slate of large tech listings, describing 2026 as a “terrible year” to go public while still affirming long-term plans for a listing to provide employee liquidity.** With the current date only weeks from the June 30, 2026 cutoff and no public S-1 filing completed, traders assign a 99.5% implied probability to “No IPO by June 30, 2026.” Supporting factors include ongoing private fundraising discussions targeting $165–175 billion valuations and analyst consensus pointing to a potential H2 2026 or 2027 timeline. A near-term IPO would require an improbable last-minute confidential filing plus rapid regulatory clearance and market debut—scenarios rendered unrealistic by the company’s deliberate pacing and preference for further private capital raises before facing public-market scrutiny.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertKein Börsengang bis zum 30. Juni 2026 99.5%
100–125 Mrd. <1%
150–175 Mrd. <1%
175–200 Mrd. <1%
$529,486 Vol.
$529,486 Vol.
30. Juni 2026
Unter 100 Mrd.
<1%
100–125 Mrd.
<1%
125–150 Mrd.
<1%
150–175 Mrd.
<1%
175–200 Mrd.
<1%
200–250 Mrd.
<1%
250 Mrd.+
<1%
Kein Börsengang bis zum 30. Juni 2026
100%
Kein Börsengang bis zum 30. Juni 2026 99.5%
100–125 Mrd. <1%
150–175 Mrd. <1%
175–200 Mrd. <1%
$529,486 Vol.
$529,486 Vol.
30. Juni 2026
Unter 100 Mrd.
$46,063 Vol.
<1%
100–125 Mrd.
$79,957 Vol.
<1%
125–150 Mrd.
$38,320 Vol.
<1%
150–175 Mrd.
$81,448 Vol.
<1%
175–200 Mrd.
$70,960 Vol.
<1%
200–250 Mrd.
$34,034 Vol.
<1%
250 Mrd.+
$137,015 Vol.
<1%
Kein Börsengang bis zum 30. Juni 2026
$41,689 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.**Databricks CEO Ali Ghodsi explicitly stated in early June 2026 that the company would avoid an IPO this year amid a crowded slate of large tech listings, describing 2026 as a “terrible year” to go public while still affirming long-term plans for a listing to provide employee liquidity.**
With the current date only weeks from the June 30, 2026 cutoff and no public S-1 filing completed, traders assign a 99.5% implied probability to “No IPO by June 30, 2026.” Supporting factors include ongoing private fundraising discussions targeting $165–175 billion valuations and analyst consensus pointing to a potential H2 2026 or 2027 timeline. A near-term IPO would require an improbable last-minute confidential filing plus rapid regulatory clearance and market debut—scenarios rendered unrealistic by the company’s deliberate pacing and preference for further private capital raises before facing public-market scrutiny.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ET
Volumen
$529,486Enddatum
30. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.**Databricks CEO Ali Ghodsi explicitly stated in early June 2026 that the company would avoid an IPO this year amid a crowded slate of large tech listings, describing 2026 as a “terrible year” to go public while still affirming long-term plans for a listing to provide employee liquidity.**
With the current date only weeks from the June 30, 2026 cutoff and no public S-1 filing completed, traders assign a 99.5% implied probability to “No IPO by June 30, 2026.” Supporting factors include ongoing private fundraising discussions targeting $165–175 billion valuations and analyst consensus pointing to a potential H2 2026 or 2027 timeline. A near-term IPO would require an improbable last-minute confidential filing plus rapid regulatory clearance and market debut—scenarios rendered unrealistic by the company’s deliberate pacing and preference for further private capital raises before facing public-market scrutiny.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$529,486Enddatum
30. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Databricks CEO Ali Ghodsi explicitly stated in early June 2026 that the company would avoid an IPO this year amid a crowded slate of large tech listings, describing 2026 as a “terrible year” to go public while still affirming long-term plans for a listing to provide employee liquidity.** With the current date only weeks from the June 30, 2026 cutoff and no public S-1 filing completed, traders assign a 99.5% implied probability to “No IPO by June 30, 2026.” Supporting factors include ongoing private fundraising discussions targeting $165–175 billion valuations and analyst consensus pointing to a potential H2 2026 or 2027 timeline. A near-term IPO would require an improbable last-minute confidential filing plus rapid regulatory clearance and market debut—scenarios rendered unrealistic by the company’s deliberate pacing and preference for further private capital raises before facing public-market scrutiny.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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