Oura's May 2026 confidential S-1 filing and trajectory toward a potential late-2026 IPO underpin the closely matched Polymarket odds, with trader consensus centering on an $11 billion private valuation from the prior Series E round. Projected 2026 revenue approaching $2 billion implies forward multiples near 5.5x at current levels, supporting the narrow lead for the $10–12.5 billion closing market-cap bucket amid broader 2026 IPO pipeline activity. Key swing factors include SEC review completion timing, equity market conditions, and competitive positioning against established wearables, while the 10% probability assigned to no IPO before January 2027 reflects execution and macroeconomic risks.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertOura IPO Closing Market Cap
$10B–$12.5B 14%
$20B+ 14%
$15B–$17.5B 12%
$17.5B–$20B 12%
$176,315 Vol.
$176,315 Vol.
<$7.5B
8%
$7.5B–$10B
11%
$10B–$12.5B
14%
$12.5B–$15B
11%
$15B–$17.5B
12%
$17.5B–$20B
12%
$20B+
14%
No IPO before January 2027
10%
$10B–$12.5B 14%
$20B+ 14%
$15B–$17.5B 12%
$17.5B–$20B 12%
$176,315 Vol.
$176,315 Vol.
<$7.5B
8%
$7.5B–$10B
11%
$10B–$12.5B
14%
$12.5B–$15B
11%
$15B–$17.5B
12%
$17.5B–$20B
12%
$20B+
14%
No IPO before January 2027
10%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Markt eröffnet: May 26, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Oura's May 2026 confidential S-1 filing and trajectory toward a potential late-2026 IPO underpin the closely matched Polymarket odds, with trader consensus centering on an $11 billion private valuation from the prior Series E round. Projected 2026 revenue approaching $2 billion implies forward multiples near 5.5x at current levels, supporting the narrow lead for the $10–12.5 billion closing market-cap bucket amid broader 2026 IPO pipeline activity. Key swing factors include SEC review completion timing, equity market conditions, and competitive positioning against established wearables, while the 10% probability assigned to no IPO before January 2027 reflects execution and macroeconomic risks.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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