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icon for Französische Präsidentschaftswahl 2027: Knafo oder Zemmour für Reconquête?
Politik·Frankreich

Französische Präsidentschaftswahl 2027: Knafo oder Zemmour für Reconquête?

icon for Französische Präsidentschaftswahl 2027: Knafo oder Zemmour für Reconquête?
Politik·Frankreich

Französische Präsidentschaftswahl 2027: Knafo oder Zemmour für Reconquête?

Knafo

8% Chance
Polymarket
NEU

Knafo

8% Chance
Polymarket
NEU
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve according to which of Éric Zemmour and Sarah Knafo officially runs as a candidate representing Reconquête in the 2027 French presidential election. If Éric Zemmour runs as the Reconquête candidate, this market will resolve to “Zemmour”. If Sarah Knafo runs as the Reconquête candidate, this market will resolve to “Knafo”. If neither runs as the Reconquête candidate, this market will resolve 50-50. To count for resolution, the individual must be included on the official candidate list for the first round published by the French Constitutional Council, and must be the presidential candidate designated or endorsed by Reconquête. If Reconquête does not field a presidential candidate, or fields a candidate other than Éric Zemmour or Sarah Knafo, this market will resolve 50-50. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council and official information from Reconquête; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sarah Knafo has repeatedly declared she will not seek the Reconquête nomination for the 2027 French presidential election and has described Éric Zemmour as the party’s “natural candidate,” most recently in late August interviews tied to her book release and at the September party summer university. These statements followed earlier speculation fueled by her strong media presence, her 10.4 percent first-round showing in the 2026 Paris mayoral race, and her role in program development and economic messaging. Zemmour, the party founder and 2022 nominee, continues to shape its core identity themes while preparing a possible formal announcement before year-end. Traders therefore assign him overwhelming probability as the standard-bearer, viewing Knafo’s positioning as complementary rather than competitive within the small movement.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve according to which of Éric Zemmour and Sarah Knafo officially runs as a candidate representing Reconquête in the 2027 French presidential election. If Éric Zemmour runs as the Reconquête candidate, this market will resolve to “Zemmour”. If Sarah Knafo runs as the Reconquête candidate, this market will resolve to “Knafo”. If neither runs as the Reconquête candidate, this market will resolve 50-50.

To count for resolution, the individual must be included on the official candidate list for the first round published by the French Constitutional Council, and must be the presidential candidate designated or endorsed by Reconquête. If Reconquête does not field a presidential candidate, or fields a candidate other than Éric Zemmour or Sarah Knafo, this market will resolve 50-50.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council and official information from Reconquête; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve according to which of Éric Zemmour and Sarah Knafo officially runs as a candidate representing Reconquête in the 2027 French presidential election. If Éric Zemmour runs as the Reconquête candidate, this market will resolve to “Zemmour”. If Sarah Knafo runs as the Reconquête candidate, this market will resolve to “Knafo”. If neither runs as the Reconquête candidate, this market will resolve 50-50. To count for resolution, the individual must be included on the official candidate list for the first round published by the French Constitutional Council, and must be the presidential candidate designated or endorsed by Reconquête. If Reconquête does not field a presidential candidate, or fields a candidate other than Éric Zemmour or Sarah Knafo, this market will resolve 50-50. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council and official information from Reconquête; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$408
Enddatum
18. Apr. 2027
Markt eröffnet
Sep 14, 2026, 6:09 PM ET

Abwickler

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve according to which of Éric Zemmour and Sarah Knafo officially runs as a candidate representing Reconquête in the 2027 French presidential election. If Éric Zemmour runs as the Reconquête candidate, this market will resolve to “Zemmour”. If Sarah Knafo runs as the Reconquête candidate, this market will resolve to “Knafo”. If neither runs as the Reconquête candidate, this market will resolve 50-50. To count for resolution, the individual must be included on the official candidate list for the first round published by the French Constitutional Council, and must be the presidential candidate designated or endorsed by Reconquête. If Reconquête does not field a presidential candidate, or fields a candidate other than Éric Zemmour or Sarah Knafo, this market will resolve 50-50. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council and official information from Reconquête; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sarah Knafo has repeatedly declared she will not seek the Reconquête nomination for the 2027 French presidential election and has described Éric Zemmour as the party’s “natural candidate,” most recently in late August interviews tied to her book release and at the September party summer university. These statements followed earlier speculation fueled by her strong media presence, her 10.4 percent first-round showing in the 2026 Paris mayoral race, and her role in program development and economic messaging. Zemmour, the party founder and 2022 nominee, continues to shape its core identity themes while preparing a possible formal announcement before year-end. Traders therefore assign him overwhelming probability as the standard-bearer, viewing Knafo’s positioning as complementary rather than competitive within the small movement.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve according to which of Éric Zemmour and Sarah Knafo officially runs as a candidate representing Reconquête in the 2027 French presidential election. If Éric Zemmour runs as the Reconquête candidate, this market will resolve to “Zemmour”. If Sarah Knafo runs as the Reconquête candidate, this market will resolve to “Knafo”. If neither runs as the Reconquête candidate, this market will resolve 50-50.

To count for resolution, the individual must be included on the official candidate list for the first round published by the French Constitutional Council, and must be the presidential candidate designated or endorsed by Reconquête. If Reconquête does not field a presidential candidate, or fields a candidate other than Éric Zemmour or Sarah Knafo, this market will resolve 50-50.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council and official information from Reconquête; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve according to which of Éric Zemmour and Sarah Knafo officially runs as a candidate representing Reconquête in the 2027 French presidential election. If Éric Zemmour runs as the Reconquête candidate, this market will resolve to “Zemmour”. If Sarah Knafo runs as the Reconquête candidate, this market will resolve to “Knafo”. If neither runs as the Reconquête candidate, this market will resolve 50-50. To count for resolution, the individual must be included on the official candidate list for the first round published by the French Constitutional Council, and must be the presidential candidate designated or endorsed by Reconquête. If Reconquête does not field a presidential candidate, or fields a candidate other than Éric Zemmour or Sarah Knafo, this market will resolve 50-50. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council and official information from Reconquête; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$408
Enddatum
18. Apr. 2027
Markt eröffnet
Sep 14, 2026, 6:09 PM ET

Abwickler

0x65070BE91...

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