Recent ensemble forecasts from major global models show moderate uncertainty in Warsaw's overnight minimum on September 13, with projected lows clustered between roughly 9–15 °C amid variable cloud cover, light southwesterly flow, and surface radiative cooling rates. This spread across GFS and comparable runs underpins the closely matched market-implied odds, where the leading 7 °C outcome reflects trader weighting of cooler boundary-layer scenarios while higher bins capture potential for greater mixing or residual warmth. Historical September climatology places typical minima near 10 °C, providing context for the current distribution. Updated model guidance and official observations from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Warsaw on September 13?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on September 13?
5°C or below 63%
15°C or higher 63%
6°C 37%
7°C 23%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 13, 2026
5°C or below
63%
6°C
21%
7°C
32%
8°C
23%
9°C
22%
10°C
22%
11°C
22%
12°C
22%
13°C
13%
14°C
1%
15°C or higher
63%
5°C or below 63%
15°C or higher 63%
6°C 37%
7°C 23%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 13, 2026
5°C or below
$104 Vol.
63%
6°C
$147 Vol.
21%
7°C
$19 Vol.
32%
8°C
$0 Vol.
23%
9°C
$0 Vol.
22%
10°C
$0 Vol.
22%
11°C
$0 Vol.
22%
12°C
$0 Vol.
22%
13°C
$0 Vol.
13%
14°C
$0 Vol.
1%
15°C or higher
$33 Vol.
63%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major global models show moderate uncertainty in Warsaw's overnight minimum on September 13, with projected lows clustered between roughly 9–15 °C amid variable cloud cover, light southwesterly flow, and surface radiative cooling rates. This spread across GFS and comparable runs underpins the closely matched market-implied odds, where the leading 7 °C outcome reflects trader weighting of cooler boundary-layer scenarios while higher bins capture potential for greater mixing or residual warmth. Historical September climatology places typical minima near 10 °C, providing context for the current distribution. Updated model guidance and official observations from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ভলিউম
$302শেষ তারিখ
Sep 13, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major global models show moderate uncertainty in Warsaw's overnight minimum on September 13, with projected lows clustered between roughly 9–15 °C amid variable cloud cover, light southwesterly flow, and surface radiative cooling rates. This spread across GFS and comparable runs underpins the closely matched market-implied odds, where the leading 7 °C outcome reflects trader weighting of cooler boundary-layer scenarios while higher bins capture potential for greater mixing or residual warmth. Historical September climatology places typical minima near 10 °C, providing context for the current distribution. Updated model guidance and official observations from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$302শেষ তারিখ
Sep 13, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major global models show moderate uncertainty in Warsaw's overnight minimum on September 13, with projected lows clustered between roughly 9–15 °C amid variable cloud cover, light southwesterly flow, and surface radiative cooling rates. This spread across GFS and comparable runs underpins the closely matched market-implied odds, where the leading 7 °C outcome reflects trader weighting of cooler boundary-layer scenarios while higher bins capture potential for greater mixing or residual warmth. Historical September climatology places typical minima near 10 °C, providing context for the current distribution. Updated model guidance and official observations from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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