Current meteorological forecasts from Météo-France and global models indicate the primary driver positioning 16°C as the leading outcome for Paris's lowest temperature on August 2 is persistent high-pressure conditions promoting clear skies and efficient overnight radiative cooling, with consensus lows clustering around 16–18°C amid an ongoing heatwave episode. Recent model runs show stable synoptic patterns with minimal frontal activity, aligning closely with historical early-August baselines near 15–16°C, though slight downward revisions in some ensembles support the 30% probability at 15°C. Uncertainty remains from potential model divergence on boundary-layer mixing and any late thunderstorm development that could elevate the minimum. Updated guidance from official agencies ahead of the overnight period will likely refine these market-implied odds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Paris on August 2?
16°C 50%
15°C 30%
17°C 16%
14°C or below 7%
14°C or below
7%
15°C
30%
16°C
50%
17°C
16%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
16°C 50%
15°C 30%
17°C 16%
14°C or below 7%
14°C or below
7%
15°C
30%
16°C
50%
17°C
16%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological forecasts from Météo-France and global models indicate the primary driver positioning 16°C as the leading outcome for Paris's lowest temperature on August 2 is persistent high-pressure conditions promoting clear skies and efficient overnight radiative cooling, with consensus lows clustering around 16–18°C amid an ongoing heatwave episode. Recent model runs show stable synoptic patterns with minimal frontal activity, aligning closely with historical early-August baselines near 15–16°C, though slight downward revisions in some ensembles support the 30% probability at 15°C. Uncertainty remains from potential model divergence on boundary-layer mixing and any late thunderstorm development that could elevate the minimum. Updated guidance from official agencies ahead of the overnight period will likely refine these market-implied odds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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