Recent National Weather Service model guidance and regional observations indicate persistently elevated overnight lows across the New York metro area, driven by above-average humidity, light winds, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. With August climatological normals near 70 °F for daily minima and the broader seasonal outlook favoring warmer-than-average conditions, trader consensus has coalesced around 76–77 °F as the most probable minimum at official stations such as Central Park or LaGuardia. Minor probability mass on 74–75 °F reflects residual uncertainty in final hourly readings, while sub-72 °F outcomes remain discounted absent an unexpected surge of cooler maritime air. Updated forecasts and any late-day observations will likely refine these market-implied odds before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in NYC on August 8?
76-77°F 89%
74-75°F 27%
72-73°F 1%
70-71°F <1%
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
27%
76-77°F
89%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 89%
74-75°F 27%
72-73°F 1%
70-71°F <1%
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
27%
76-77°F
89%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 6, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service model guidance and regional observations indicate persistently elevated overnight lows across the New York metro area, driven by above-average humidity, light winds, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. With August climatological normals near 70 °F for daily minima and the broader seasonal outlook favoring warmer-than-average conditions, trader consensus has coalesced around 76–77 °F as the most probable minimum at official stations such as Central Park or LaGuardia. Minor probability mass on 74–75 °F reflects residual uncertainty in final hourly readings, while sub-72 °F outcomes remain discounted absent an unexpected surge of cooler maritime air. Updated forecasts and any late-day observations will likely refine these market-implied odds before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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