Recent model runs from GFS and ECMWF place Moscow's minimum temperature on September 8 near 6–9°C, slightly below the 1991–2020 average low of 9.3°C amid ongoing northwest flow and lingering cloud cover from a cool early-September pattern. This positions the implied probability of 4°C or below nearly even with 14°C or higher, reflecting uncertainty in radiational cooling under variable skies versus modest warm-air advection. Historical analogs show occasional early-September drops below 5°C when clear, calm conditions align with polar air, while typical September minima cluster near 8–11°C. Updated official guidance from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and next model cycles will clarify overnight cloud trends and wind speeds that determine whether minimums dip sharply or stabilize in the mid-single digits.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Moscow on September 8?
4°C or below 97%
14°C or higher 96%
11°C 50%
12°C 50%
4°C or below
97%
5°C
26%
6°C
26%
7°C
26%
8°C
26%
9°C
26%
10°C
1%
11°C
50%
12°C
50%
13°C
8%
14°C or higher
96%
4°C or below 97%
14°C or higher 96%
11°C 50%
12°C 50%
4°C or below
97%
5°C
26%
6°C
26%
7°C
26%
8°C
26%
9°C
26%
10°C
1%
11°C
50%
12°C
50%
13°C
8%
14°C or higher
96%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs from GFS and ECMWF place Moscow's minimum temperature on September 8 near 6–9°C, slightly below the 1991–2020 average low of 9.3°C amid ongoing northwest flow and lingering cloud cover from a cool early-September pattern. This positions the implied probability of 4°C or below nearly even with 14°C or higher, reflecting uncertainty in radiational cooling under variable skies versus modest warm-air advection. Historical analogs show occasional early-September drops below 5°C when clear, calm conditions align with polar air, while typical September minima cluster near 8–11°C. Updated official guidance from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and next model cycles will clarify overnight cloud trends and wind speeds that determine whether minimums dip sharply or stabilize in the mid-single digits.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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