Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability (40.5%) to an overnight low of 80-81°F in Miami on August 12, followed closely by 82-83°F (32%), reflecting National Weather Service and model guidance for typical August conditions. Persistent high humidity with dew points near 75°F, combined with light easterly flow, limits nighttime radiational cooling and keeps minimum temperatures in the low 80s. The absence of tropical cyclones or strong frontal systems from the National Hurricane Center maintains this pattern, while minor forecast spread between 78-83°F accounts for the balanced probabilities across leading bins and the smaller shares for cooler or warmer outliers. Updated model runs and official observations will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Miami on August 12?
80-81°F 41%
82-83°F 32%
78-79°F 21%
76-77°F 5%
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
21%
80-81°F
41%
82-83°F
32%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 41%
82-83°F 32%
78-79°F 21%
76-77°F 5%
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
21%
80-81°F
41%
82-83°F
32%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability (40.5%) to an overnight low of 80-81°F in Miami on August 12, followed closely by 82-83°F (32%), reflecting National Weather Service and model guidance for typical August conditions. Persistent high humidity with dew points near 75°F, combined with light easterly flow, limits nighttime radiational cooling and keeps minimum temperatures in the low 80s. The absence of tropical cyclones or strong frontal systems from the National Hurricane Center maintains this pattern, while minor forecast spread between 78-83°F accounts for the balanced probabilities across leading bins and the smaller shares for cooler or warmer outliers. Updated model runs and official observations will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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