Current forecast models from sources like GFS indicate Madrid will experience clear, dry conditions overnight into September 14, 2026, with radiative cooling under light northeasterly winds supporting a minimum temperature near 16–17°C. This aligns with the market-implied 74% probability on 16°C or below and 26% on exactly 17°C, consistent with historical September averages around 15.7°C and the absence of warmer air advection or cloud cover that would elevate lows. Recent observational trends show stable high-pressure dominance across central Spain, with no significant model divergence expected before resolution. Traders appear to price in these standard late-summer radiative processes rather than outlier warming scenarios.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Madrid on September 14?
16°C or below 77%
18°C 29%
19°C 29%
17°C 25%
16°C or below
77%
17°C
25%
18°C
29%
19°C
29%
20°C
14%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
16°C or below 77%
18°C 29%
19°C 29%
17°C 25%
16°C or below
77%
17°C
25%
18°C
29%
19°C
29%
20°C
14%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like GFS indicate Madrid will experience clear, dry conditions overnight into September 14, 2026, with radiative cooling under light northeasterly winds supporting a minimum temperature near 16–17°C. This aligns with the market-implied 74% probability on 16°C or below and 26% on exactly 17°C, consistent with historical September averages around 15.7°C and the absence of warmer air advection or cloud cover that would elevate lows. Recent observational trends show stable high-pressure dominance across central Spain, with no significant model divergence expected before resolution. Traders appear to price in these standard late-summer radiative processes rather than outlier warming scenarios.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা