Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London on August 18 indicate a daily minimum near 16°C under light cloud, a gentle westerly breeze, and lingering mild Atlantic air, yet trader consensus heavily favors 18–19°C. This positioning reflects ensemble model spread, recent warmer-than-average overnight lows throughout summer 2026, and climatological variability where late-August minima often range 14–18°C. High-resolution runs show potential for limited radiative cooling if cloud cover persists, while drier conditions could allow slightly lower readings. The market assigns only modest probability to sub-17°C outcomes, consistent with official guidance that emphasizes near-normal temperatures rather than sharp cooling. Updated model cycles and Met Office briefings over the next 24 hours represent the key catalysts likely to refine these implied probabilities.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in London on August 18?
Lowest temperature in London on August 18?
19°C 56%
18°C 32%
20°C 13%
17°C 5%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 18, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
5%
18°C
32%
19°C
56%
20°C
13%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
19°C 56%
18°C 32%
20°C 13%
17°C 5%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 18, 2026
14°C or below
$177 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$406 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$616 Vol.
1%
17°C
$1,464 Vol.
5%
18°C
$1,683 Vol.
32%
19°C
$1,633 Vol.
56%
20°C
$649 Vol.
13%
21°C
$256 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$222 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$192 Vol.
<1%
24°C or higher
$182 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London on August 18 indicate a daily minimum near 16°C under light cloud, a gentle westerly breeze, and lingering mild Atlantic air, yet trader consensus heavily favors 18–19°C. This positioning reflects ensemble model spread, recent warmer-than-average overnight lows throughout summer 2026, and climatological variability where late-August minima often range 14–18°C. High-resolution runs show potential for limited radiative cooling if cloud cover persists, while drier conditions could allow slightly lower readings. The market assigns only modest probability to sub-17°C outcomes, consistent with official guidance that emphasizes near-normal temperatures rather than sharp cooling. Updated model cycles and Met Office briefings over the next 24 hours represent the key catalysts likely to refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
ভলিউম
$7,480শেষ তারিখ
Aug 18, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London on August 18 indicate a daily minimum near 16°C under light cloud, a gentle westerly breeze, and lingering mild Atlantic air, yet trader consensus heavily favors 18–19°C. This positioning reflects ensemble model spread, recent warmer-than-average overnight lows throughout summer 2026, and climatological variability where late-August minima often range 14–18°C. High-resolution runs show potential for limited radiative cooling if cloud cover persists, while drier conditions could allow slightly lower readings. The market assigns only modest probability to sub-17°C outcomes, consistent with official guidance that emphasizes near-normal temperatures rather than sharp cooling. Updated model cycles and Met Office briefings over the next 24 hours represent the key catalysts likely to refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$7,480শেষ তারিখ
Aug 18, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London on August 18 indicate a daily minimum near 16°C under light cloud, a gentle westerly breeze, and lingering mild Atlantic air, yet trader consensus heavily favors 18–19°C. This positioning reflects ensemble model spread, recent warmer-than-average overnight lows throughout summer 2026, and climatological variability where late-August minima often range 14–18°C. High-resolution runs show potential for limited radiative cooling if cloud cover persists, while drier conditions could allow slightly lower readings. The market assigns only modest probability to sub-17°C outcomes, consistent with official guidance that emphasizes near-normal temperatures rather than sharp cooling. Updated model cycles and Met Office briefings over the next 24 hours represent the key catalysts likely to refine these implied probabilities.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা