Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate Hong Kong's minimum temperature on September 13 will likely settle near 26–27°C, aligning with trader consensus on the 27°C outcome. Persistent easterly flow, high humidity near 80–95%, and widespread cloud cover from monsoon influences limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows elevated compared to drier autumn baselines. Light winds and scattered showers further moderate temperature drops, with official Hong Kong Observatory observations showing daytime peaks around 30–32°C transitioning to minima in the mid-20s. Final resolution hinges on the verified daily low from the observatory, with any late-day model adjustments or unexpected clearing potentially shifting probabilities.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 13?
27°C 79%
26°C 13%
25°C 10%
24°C 2%
$18,222 Vol.
$18,222 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
10%
26°C
13%
27°C
79%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 79%
26°C 13%
25°C 10%
24°C 2%
$18,222 Vol.
$18,222 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
10%
26°C
13%
27°C
79%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate Hong Kong's minimum temperature on September 13 will likely settle near 26–27°C, aligning with trader consensus on the 27°C outcome. Persistent easterly flow, high humidity near 80–95%, and widespread cloud cover from monsoon influences limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows elevated compared to drier autumn baselines. Light winds and scattered showers further moderate temperature drops, with official Hong Kong Observatory observations showing daytime peaks around 30–32°C transitioning to minima in the mid-20s. Final resolution hinges on the verified daily low from the observatory, with any late-day model adjustments or unexpected clearing potentially shifting probabilities.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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