Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and complementary global models indicate a Warsaw high near 19–20 °C on August 18, driven by increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and northwesterly advection of cooler maritime air that reduces solar insolation and surface heating. These conditions align with late-summer climatology while limiting the potential for stronger diurnal warming. Tight clustering around 18–21 °C outcomes reflects model spread in precipitation timing, boundary-layer moisture, and 10 m wind speeds, all of which modulate the surface energy balance and create realistic uncertainty ranges of a few degrees. Traders incorporate the latest model runs and observational trends to assess these variables ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 18?
19°C 38%
20°C 29%
18°C 23%
21°C 9%
$15,710 Vol.
$15,710 Vol.
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
23%
19°C
38%
20°C
29%
21°C
9%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
19°C 38%
20°C 29%
18°C 23%
21°C 9%
$15,710 Vol.
$15,710 Vol.
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
23%
19°C
38%
20°C
29%
21°C
9%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and complementary global models indicate a Warsaw high near 19–20 °C on August 18, driven by increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and northwesterly advection of cooler maritime air that reduces solar insolation and surface heating. These conditions align with late-summer climatology while limiting the potential for stronger diurnal warming. Tight clustering around 18–21 °C outcomes reflects model spread in precipitation timing, boundary-layer moisture, and 10 m wind speeds, all of which modulate the surface energy balance and create realistic uncertainty ranges of a few degrees. Traders incorporate the latest model runs and observational trends to assess these variables ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড

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