Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance shows post-frontal clearing and northwest winds of 10–15 mph moderating temperatures across the New York metro area for September 14, positioning mid-70s readings as the most likely outcome. Overnight lows near 60°F and reduced humidity following the prior day's rain support daytime highs centered on 74–76°F, with limited afternoon mixing due to brisk flow. Urban heat-island effects in Manhattan could add 1–2°F locally, explaining trader emphasis on the 76–77°F bin at 58.5% implied probability. Updated model runs tonight and early morning observations from Central Park will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in NYC on September 14?
76-77°F 56%
74-75°F 36%
78-79°F 5%
72-73°F 4%
$15,334 Vol.
$15,334 Vol.
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
36%
76-77°F
56%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 56%
74-75°F 36%
78-79°F 5%
72-73°F 4%
$15,334 Vol.
$15,334 Vol.
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
36%
76-77°F
56%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 12, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance shows post-frontal clearing and northwest winds of 10–15 mph moderating temperatures across the New York metro area for September 14, positioning mid-70s readings as the most likely outcome. Overnight lows near 60°F and reduced humidity following the prior day's rain support daytime highs centered on 74–76°F, with limited afternoon mixing due to brisk flow. Urban heat-island effects in Manhattan could add 1–2°F locally, explaining trader emphasis on the 76–77°F bin at 58.5% implied probability. Updated model runs tonight and early morning observations from Central Park will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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