Recent monsoon activity and associated cloud cover over Uttar Pradesh are the main drivers keeping implied probabilities highest for a 33°C peak on September 12 in Lucknow, followed by 32°C and 34°C. Official forecasts from sources including the India Meteorological Department indicate partly cloudy to overcast skies with 60-95% rain or thunderstorm chances through the weekend, which limit solar heating and hold daytime maxima near 32-34°C (roughly 90-93°F). A recent low-pressure system in the Bay of Bengal has sustained elevated humidity and scattered precipitation, consistent with September climatology where average highs hover around 33°C. Model consensus shows minimal risk of clearer, hotter conditions that would push readings to 35°C or above, while cooler outcomes below 31°C appear unlikely absent a stronger cooling surge. Updated forecasts ahead of the date will refine these probabilities.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 12?
33°C 44%
32°C 28%
34°C 21%
31°C 7%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
4%
31°C
7%
32°C
28%
33°C
44%
34°C
21%
35°C
5%
36°C or higher
3%
33°C 44%
32°C 28%
34°C 21%
31°C 7%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
4%
31°C
7%
32°C
28%
33°C
44%
34°C
21%
35°C
5%
36°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon activity and associated cloud cover over Uttar Pradesh are the main drivers keeping implied probabilities highest for a 33°C peak on September 12 in Lucknow, followed by 32°C and 34°C. Official forecasts from sources including the India Meteorological Department indicate partly cloudy to overcast skies with 60-95% rain or thunderstorm chances through the weekend, which limit solar heating and hold daytime maxima near 32-34°C (roughly 90-93°F). A recent low-pressure system in the Bay of Bengal has sustained elevated humidity and scattered precipitation, consistent with September climatology where average highs hover around 33°C. Model consensus shows minimal risk of clearer, hotter conditions that would push readings to 35°C or above, while cooler outcomes below 31°C appear unlikely absent a stronger cooling surge. Updated forecasts ahead of the date will refine these probabilities.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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