Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity (70–95%) from a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea suppressed solar heating and daytime warming across Hong Kong on August 21, 2026, capping official maximum temperatures near 30–31 °C. Hong Kong Observatory data recorded a peak of 30.9 °C at the central station, with similar regional readings, aligning closely with climatological norms for late August under southwesterly flow and consistent with the market’s 99.9% implied probability for the 31 °C outcome. This consensus reflects verified observational evidence rather than forecasts. A post-publication data revision or extreme localized microclimate spike at the official station could theoretically alter resolution, though such changes are rare and typically excluded.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 21?
31°C 99.9%
33°C <1%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
$250,952 Vol.
$250,952 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
31°C 99.9%
33°C <1%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
$250,952 Vol.
$250,952 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity (70–95%) from a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea suppressed solar heating and daytime warming across Hong Kong on August 21, 2026, capping official maximum temperatures near 30–31 °C. Hong Kong Observatory data recorded a peak of 30.9 °C at the central station, with similar regional readings, aligning closely with climatological norms for late August under southwesterly flow and consistent with the market’s 99.9% implied probability for the 31 °C outcome. This consensus reflects verified observational evidence rather than forecasts. A post-publication data revision or extreme localized microclimate spike at the official station could theoretically alter resolution, though such changes are rare and typically excluded.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা