Recent National Weather Service and local forecasts for Austin point to a sunny, hot day on August 25 with highs near 103–105°F under persistent high pressure and strong subsidence. This setup favors maximum solar heating with minimal cloud cover or moisture advection, though subtle differences in model runs (such as GFS versus ECMWF) and any late-day convective development can shift the peak by 1–3°F. Historical late-August climatology shows typical highs near 96–100°F, so current conditions reflect above-normal warmth. Traders assign the highest probabilities to the 102–105°F bins because ensemble guidance clusters tightly there, while lower odds on 106°F+ reflect limited upside from drier air and the small risk of afternoon mixing or thin cirrus reducing insolation.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Austin on August 25?
102-103°F 50%
104-105°F 37%
106-107°F 19%
100-101°F 16%
95°F or below
6%
96-97°F
5%
98-99°F
7%
100-101°F
16%
102-103°F
30%
104-105°F
27%
106-107°F
19%
108-109°F
14%
110-111°F
14%
112-113°F
2%
114°F or higher
3%
102-103°F 50%
104-105°F 37%
106-107°F 19%
100-101°F 16%
95°F or below
6%
96-97°F
5%
98-99°F
7%
100-101°F
16%
102-103°F
30%
104-105°F
27%
106-107°F
19%
108-109°F
14%
110-111°F
14%
112-113°F
2%
114°F or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and local forecasts for Austin point to a sunny, hot day on August 25 with highs near 103–105°F under persistent high pressure and strong subsidence. This setup favors maximum solar heating with minimal cloud cover or moisture advection, though subtle differences in model runs (such as GFS versus ECMWF) and any late-day convective development can shift the peak by 1–3°F. Historical late-August climatology shows typical highs near 96–100°F, so current conditions reflect above-normal warmth. Traders assign the highest probabilities to the 102–105°F bins because ensemble guidance clusters tightly there, while lower odds on 106°F+ reflect limited upside from drier air and the small risk of afternoon mixing or thin cirrus reducing insolation.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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