Latest official forecasts from Environment Canada and ensemble guidance point to a minimum temperature near 14°C in Toronto on August 25 under clearing skies and light winds following any residual moisture. Clear conditions enhance radiative cooling overnight while the urban heat island and boundary-layer mixing limit how far temperatures can drop below model consensus, keeping most runs clustered between 12–16°C. Traders have placed the highest implied probability on 11°C or below, reflecting sensitivity to small changes in wind speed or cloud timing that could allow deeper cooling, with historical August climatology showing typical lows near 15–17°C. Updated model runs and surface observations through the night will likely refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Toronto on August 25?
11°C or below 93%
21°C or higher 50%
12°C 49%
20°C 28%
11°C or below
93%
12°C
49%
13°C
25%
14°C
25%
15°C
26%
16°C
26%
17°C
25%
18°C
15%
19°C
15%
20°C
28%
21°C or higher
50%
11°C or below 93%
21°C or higher 50%
12°C 49%
20°C 28%
11°C or below
93%
12°C
49%
13°C
25%
14°C
25%
15°C
26%
16°C
26%
17°C
25%
18°C
15%
19°C
15%
20°C
28%
21°C or higher
50%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest official forecasts from Environment Canada and ensemble guidance point to a minimum temperature near 14°C in Toronto on August 25 under clearing skies and light winds following any residual moisture. Clear conditions enhance radiative cooling overnight while the urban heat island and boundary-layer mixing limit how far temperatures can drop below model consensus, keeping most runs clustered between 12–16°C. Traders have placed the highest implied probability on 11°C or below, reflecting sensitivity to small changes in wind speed or cloud timing that could allow deeper cooling, with historical August climatology showing typical lows near 15–17°C. Updated model runs and surface observations through the night will likely refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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