Trader consensus in this market, with 26°C holding a narrow 50.5% implied probability over 27°C at 41.5%, reflects the latest ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS projecting a daytime maximum near 25–26°C for Ankara on September 14. A cooling trend from the prior day’s 32–33°C peak stems from increased westerly flow advecting milder maritime air, combined with partial cloud development that limits peak insolation. Diurnal heating under mostly clear skies, modulated by wind speeds around 5 m/s and dew points near 10–13°C, creates the narrow margin between 26°C and 27°C outcomes. Official observations from stations like Esenboğa will resolve the market once the daily high is recorded, with minimal further model updates expected before then.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Ankara on September 14?
26°C 51%
27°C 38%
25°C 9%
28°C 2%
$14,885 Vol.
$14,885 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
9%
26°C
51%
27°C
38%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 51%
27°C 38%
25°C 9%
28°C 2%
$14,885 Vol.
$14,885 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
9%
26°C
51%
27°C
38%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus in this market, with 26°C holding a narrow 50.5% implied probability over 27°C at 41.5%, reflects the latest ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS projecting a daytime maximum near 25–26°C for Ankara on September 14. A cooling trend from the prior day’s 32–33°C peak stems from increased westerly flow advecting milder maritime air, combined with partial cloud development that limits peak insolation. Diurnal heating under mostly clear skies, modulated by wind speeds around 5 m/s and dew points near 10–13°C, creates the narrow margin between 26°C and 27°C outcomes. Official observations from stations like Esenboğa will resolve the market once the daily high is recorded, with minimal further model updates expected before then.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা