Recent short-range forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS, alongside official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance, indicate persistent high-pressure dominance over central Anatolia with minimal cloud cover and light winds through August 5. These conditions support daytime maxima near the long-term August average of 31–33°C, positioning 32°C as the modal outcome under current consensus. Minor model spread around 31–33°C reflects typical uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects for Ankara, while the low probabilities assigned to 34°C or higher stem from the absence of any incoming warm-air advection or subsidence strengthening. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will further refine these implied probabilities ahead of the daily maximum observation.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Ankara on August 5?
32°C 50%
33°C 24%
31°C 21%
34°C 5%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
4%
31°C
21%
32°C
50%
33°C
24%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 50%
33°C 24%
31°C 21%
34°C 5%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
4%
31°C
21%
32°C
50%
33°C
24%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS, alongside official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance, indicate persistent high-pressure dominance over central Anatolia with minimal cloud cover and light winds through August 5. These conditions support daytime maxima near the long-term August average of 31–33°C, positioning 32°C as the modal outcome under current consensus. Minor model spread around 31–33°C reflects typical uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects for Ankara, while the low probabilities assigned to 34°C or higher stem from the absence of any incoming warm-air advection or subsidence strengthening. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will further refine these implied probabilities ahead of the daily maximum observation.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড



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