Recent IMD observations and forecasts show Lucknow maximum temperatures holding near 32–33°C amid active southwest monsoon conditions, with widespread cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered rain or thundershowers limiting daytime heating. Climatological averages for early August place typical maxima around 31–32°C, and current model consensus indicates no significant heat buildup before August 5. These factors concentrate trader-implied probabilities on 30–32°C outcomes, reflecting the moderating influence of monsoon dynamics rather than pre-monsoon extremes. Updated IMD guidance and short-range model runs ahead of the date remain the key near-term drivers.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Lucknow on August 5?
30°C 36%
31°C 28%
32°C 20%
29°C 16%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
16%
30°C
36%
31°C
28%
32°C
20%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
2%
30°C 36%
31°C 28%
32°C 20%
29°C 16%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
16%
30°C
36%
31°C
28%
32°C
20%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 3, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent IMD observations and forecasts show Lucknow maximum temperatures holding near 32–33°C amid active southwest monsoon conditions, with widespread cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered rain or thundershowers limiting daytime heating. Climatological averages for early August place typical maxima around 31–32°C, and current model consensus indicates no significant heat buildup before August 5. These factors concentrate trader-implied probabilities on 30–32°C outcomes, reflecting the moderating influence of monsoon dynamics rather than pre-monsoon extremes. Updated IMD guidance and short-range model runs ahead of the date remain the key near-term drivers.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড



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