Rapid progress in large language model reasoning capabilities underpins the 90% market-implied odds for an AI model reaching 90% on FrontierMath before 2027. Epoch AI’s June 2026 v2 update corrected errors across 42% of problems, yielding a cleaner 338-problem set where leading models such as GPT-5.6 variants and Claude Fable 5 now post 87–88% scores on Tier 4 research-level items. Continued scaling, targeted post-training on mathematical domains, and iterative releases expected through late 2026 provide the main catalysts for crossing the threshold within months. Traders weigh historical benchmark saturation patterns against the narrow remaining gap and typical development timelines.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড90% সম্ভাবনা
$117,315 Vol.
$117,315 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
90% সম্ভাবনা
$117,315 Vol.
$117,315 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state-of-the-art (SOTA) AI model achieves a score of 90% or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Rapid progress in large language model reasoning capabilities underpins the 90% market-implied odds for an AI model reaching 90% on FrontierMath before 2027. Epoch AI’s June 2026 v2 update corrected errors across 42% of problems, yielding a cleaner 338-problem set where leading models such as GPT-5.6 variants and Claude Fable 5 now post 87–88% scores on Tier 4 research-level items. Continued scaling, targeted post-training on mathematical domains, and iterative releases expected through late 2026 provide the main catalysts for crossing the threshold within months. Traders weigh historical benchmark saturation patterns against the narrow remaining gap and typical development timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state-of-the-art (SOTA) AI model achieves a score of 90% or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Nov 12, 2025, 5:15 PM ET
ভলিউম
$117,315শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 12, 2025, 5:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state-of-the-art (SOTA) AI model achieves a score of 90% or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Rapid progress in large language model reasoning capabilities underpins the 90% market-implied odds for an AI model reaching 90% on FrontierMath before 2027. Epoch AI’s June 2026 v2 update corrected errors across 42% of problems, yielding a cleaner 338-problem set where leading models such as GPT-5.6 variants and Claude Fable 5 now post 87–88% scores on Tier 4 research-level items. Continued scaling, targeted post-training on mathematical domains, and iterative releases expected through late 2026 provide the main catalysts for crossing the threshold within months. Traders weigh historical benchmark saturation patterns against the narrow remaining gap and typical development timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state-of-the-art (SOTA) AI model achieves a score of 90% or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$117,315শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 12, 2025, 5:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Rapid progress in large language model reasoning capabilities underpins the 90% market-implied odds for an AI model reaching 90% on FrontierMath before 2027. Epoch AI’s June 2026 v2 update corrected errors across 42% of problems, yielding a cleaner 338-problem set where leading models such as GPT-5.6 variants and Claude Fable 5 now post 87–88% scores on Tier 4 research-level items. Continued scaling, targeted post-training on mathematical domains, and iterative releases expected through late 2026 provide the main catalysts for crossing the threshold within months. Traders weigh historical benchmark saturation patterns against the narrow remaining gap and typical development timelines.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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