Despite bilateral frictions with Saudi Arabia over Yemen, Sudan, oil quotas, and regional security postures, plus the UAE’s May 2026 OPEC exit, traders assign 95.5% probability against UAE withdrawal from the GCC in 2026 because of entrenched economic integration, joint defense mechanisms, and shared responses to Iranian threats. Recent GCC statements condemning attacks on UAE tankers and affirming solidarity, alongside UAE participation in GCC summits and external partnerships, underscore institutional continuity rather than rupture. Realistic shifts would require a major escalation in Abu Dhabi-Riyadh disputes or a formal UAE announcement prioritizing unilateral autonomy, neither of which has materialized amid ongoing coordination on maritime security and economic diversification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
5% 概率
$100,506 交易量
$100,506 交易量
2026-12-30
是
5% 概率
$100,506 交易量
$100,506 交易量
2026-12-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Despite bilateral frictions with Saudi Arabia over Yemen, Sudan, oil quotas, and regional security postures, plus the UAE’s May 2026 OPEC exit, traders assign 95.5% probability against UAE withdrawal from the GCC in 2026 because of entrenched economic integration, joint defense mechanisms, and shared responses to Iranian threats. Recent GCC statements condemning attacks on UAE tankers and affirming solidarity, alongside UAE participation in GCC summits and external partnerships, underscore institutional continuity rather than rupture. Realistic shifts would require a major escalation in Abu Dhabi-Riyadh disputes or a formal UAE announcement prioritizing unilateral autonomy, neither of which has materialized amid ongoing coordination on maritime security and economic diversification.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Apr 28, 2026, 3:54 PM ET
交易量
$100,506结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Apr 28, 2026, 3:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Despite bilateral frictions with Saudi Arabia over Yemen, Sudan, oil quotas, and regional security postures, plus the UAE’s May 2026 OPEC exit, traders assign 95.5% probability against UAE withdrawal from the GCC in 2026 because of entrenched economic integration, joint defense mechanisms, and shared responses to Iranian threats. Recent GCC statements condemning attacks on UAE tankers and affirming solidarity, alongside UAE participation in GCC summits and external partnerships, underscore institutional continuity rather than rupture. Realistic shifts would require a major escalation in Abu Dhabi-Riyadh disputes or a formal UAE announcement prioritizing unilateral autonomy, neither of which has materialized amid ongoing coordination on maritime security and economic diversification.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$100,506结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Apr 28, 2026, 3:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Despite bilateral frictions with Saudi Arabia over Yemen, Sudan, oil quotas, and regional security postures, plus the UAE’s May 2026 OPEC exit, traders assign 95.5% probability against UAE withdrawal from the GCC in 2026 because of entrenched economic integration, joint defense mechanisms, and shared responses to Iranian threats. Recent GCC statements condemning attacks on UAE tankers and affirming solidarity, alongside UAE participation in GCC summits and external partnerships, underscore institutional continuity rather than rupture. Realistic shifts would require a major escalation in Abu Dhabi-Riyadh disputes or a formal UAE announcement prioritizing unilateral autonomy, neither of which has materialized amid ongoing coordination on maritime security and economic diversification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题