Russian forces attempted to infiltrate Ternuvate, a rural settlement in Zaporizhzhia Oblast roughly 10-15 km behind the current line of contact near Hulyaipole, in late January 2026. Ukrainian Southern Defense Forces quickly neutralized the sabotage group, cleared the village, and maintained full control, with the incident limited to flag-planting and propaganda footage rather than sustained occupation. Subsequent reporting through February showed continued Russian attacks in the broader sector but no confirmed territorial gains into Ternuvate itself. As of early September 2026, the village remains outside active frontline fighting, with Russian offensive efforts concentrated in other directions such as Pokrovsk and Kupyansk. Trader probabilities for renewed Russian entry by spring dates have stayed low, reflecting the settlement’s distance from main axes of advance and Ukraine’s demonstrated ability to respond rapidly to infiltration attempts. Ongoing diplomatic contacts between the U.S. and Russian leadership could influence frontline tempo in the coming weeks.