Trader sentiment in this multi-outcome market centers on the pace of federal investigations and indictments through the remainder of 2026. Leading probabilities attach to Mahmoud Khalil amid ongoing immigration and protest-related enforcement actions, while former intelligence officials such as John Brennan and James Comey reflect trader focus on potential accountability proceedings tied to prior official conduct. Lower-priced outcomes for figures including Anthony Fauci, Adam Schiff, and Barack Obama track structural barriers such as statutes of limitations, venue considerations, and historical patterns of limited prosecution of senior political actors. Recent surges in ICE arrests and DOJ resource allocation provide context for near-term catalysts, with resolution triggered by any qualifying arrest or voluntary surrender before January 1, 2027.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于谁将在2027年之前被捕？
谁将在2027年之前被捕？
$364,923 交易量
安东尼·福奇
12%
约翰·布伦南
29%
何塞·路易斯·罗德里格斯·萨帕特罗
23%
亚当·希夫
3%
巴拉克·奥巴马
1%
詹姆斯·科米
6%
马哈茂德·哈利勒
30%
詹姆斯·克拉珀
13%
莱蒂蒂娅·詹姆斯
13%
希拉里·克林顿
3%
比尔·克林顿
3%
洛雷塔·林奇
10%
苏珊·赖斯
8%
坎迪斯·欧文斯
6%
加文·纽森
3%
本雅明·内塔尼亚胡
5%
约翰·克里
3%
Pam Bondi
4%
托姆·霍曼
11%
卡什·帕特尔
3%
布兰登·约翰逊
12%
丽莎·库克
10%
李俊锡
11%
乔·拜登
2%
$364,923 交易量
安东尼·福奇
$135,467 交易量
12%
约翰·布伦南
$18,168 交易量
29%
何塞·路易斯·罗德里格斯·萨帕特罗
$21,677 交易量
23%
亚当·希夫
$16,394 交易量
3%
巴拉克·奥巴马
$28,805 交易量
1%
詹姆斯·科米
$9,602 交易量
6%
马哈茂德·哈利勒
$1,278 交易量
30%
詹姆斯·克拉珀
$6,726 交易量
13%
莱蒂蒂娅·詹姆斯
$2,821 交易量
13%
希拉里·克林顿
$25,009 交易量
3%
比尔·克林顿
$2,008 交易量
3%
洛雷塔·林奇
$2,376 交易量
10%
苏珊·赖斯
$304 交易量
8%
坎迪斯·欧文斯
$263 交易量
6%
加文·纽森
$37,157 交易量
3%
本雅明·内塔尼亚胡
$1,789 交易量
5%
约翰·克里
$346 交易量
3%
Pam Bondi
$1,998 交易量
4%
托姆·霍曼
$39,428 交易量
11%
卡什·帕特尔
$530 交易量
3%
布兰登·约翰逊
$3,191 交易量
12%
丽莎·库克
$3,253 交易量
10%
李俊锡
$794 交易量
11%
乔·拜登
$5,538 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment in this multi-outcome market centers on the pace of federal investigations and indictments through the remainder of 2026. Leading probabilities attach to Mahmoud Khalil amid ongoing immigration and protest-related enforcement actions, while former intelligence officials such as John Brennan and James Comey reflect trader focus on potential accountability proceedings tied to prior official conduct. Lower-priced outcomes for figures including Anthony Fauci, Adam Schiff, and Barack Obama track structural barriers such as statutes of limitations, venue considerations, and historical patterns of limited prosecution of senior political actors. Recent surges in ICE arrests and DOJ resource allocation provide context for near-term catalysts, with resolution triggered by any qualifying arrest or voluntary surrender before January 1, 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
交易量
$364,923市场开放时间
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment in this multi-outcome market centers on the pace of federal investigations and indictments through the remainder of 2026. Leading probabilities attach to Mahmoud Khalil amid ongoing immigration and protest-related enforcement actions, while former intelligence officials such as John Brennan and James Comey reflect trader focus on potential accountability proceedings tied to prior official conduct. Lower-priced outcomes for figures including Anthony Fauci, Adam Schiff, and Barack Obama track structural barriers such as statutes of limitations, venue considerations, and historical patterns of limited prosecution of senior political actors. Recent surges in ICE arrests and DOJ resource allocation provide context for near-term catalysts, with resolution triggered by any qualifying arrest or voluntary surrender before January 1, 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$364,923市场开放时间
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment in this multi-outcome market centers on the pace of federal investigations and indictments through the remainder of 2026. Leading probabilities attach to Mahmoud Khalil amid ongoing immigration and protest-related enforcement actions, while former intelligence officials such as John Brennan and James Comey reflect trader focus on potential accountability proceedings tied to prior official conduct. Lower-priced outcomes for figures including Anthony Fauci, Adam Schiff, and Barack Obama track structural barriers such as statutes of limitations, venue considerations, and historical patterns of limited prosecution of senior political actors. Recent surges in ICE arrests and DOJ resource allocation provide context for near-term catalysts, with resolution triggered by any qualifying arrest or voluntary surrender before January 1, 2027.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题