Recent technical forensics on OpenRouter's stealth Ox Alpha model— including matching error-code dialects, Java stack traces from Zhipu AI's API classes, and consistent tokenizer probes to GLM-5.3 variants—have driven strong trader consensus toward Z.ai (Zhipu AI). This aligns with patterns from prior anonymous Chinese lab releases on the platform, where models like those from Xiaomi later claimed similar "Alpha" branding after initial testing. The model's strong coding and agentic performance further supports positioning as an unreleased GLM variant served through Z.ai infrastructure. While the 90.5% implied probability reflects aggregated real-capital conviction in these signals, an official claim by another provider or contradictory operator-level evidence could still shift outcomes before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Z.ai 93%
Safe Superintelligence 2.3%
Google 1.7%
小米 1.3%
最新
$22,742 交易量
最新
$22,742 交易量
2026-12-31
Z.ai
93%
Safe Superintelligence
2%
2%
小米
1%
字节跳动
1%
Meta
1%
Cursor
1%
Mistral
<1%
xAI
<1%
腾讯
<1%
阿里巴巴
<1%
月之暗面
<1%
英伟达
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
StepFun
<1%
微软
<1%
OpenAI
<1%
Anthropic
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Thinky
<1%
美团
<1%
亚马逊
<1%
百度
<1%
Z.ai 93%
Safe Superintelligence 2.3%
Google 1.7%
小米 1.3%
最新
$22,742 交易量
最新
$22,742 交易量
2026-12-31
Z.ai
$6,971 交易量
93%
Safe Superintelligence
$1,040 交易量
2%
$1,126 交易量
2%
小米
$902 交易量
1%
字节跳动
$848 交易量
1%
Meta
$366 交易量
1%
Cursor
$912 交易量
1%
Mistral
$915 交易量
<1%
xAI
$1,033 交易量
<1%
腾讯
$827 交易量
<1%
阿里巴巴
$860 交易量
<1%
月之暗面
$709 交易量
<1%
英伟达
$545 交易量
<1%
MiniMax
$714 交易量
<1%
StepFun
$723 交易量
<1%
微软
$532 交易量
<1%
OpenAI
$527 交易量
<1%
Anthropic
$536 交易量
<1%
DeepSeek
$516 交易量
<1%
Thinky
$555 交易量
<1%
美团
$545 交易量
<1%
亚马逊
$675 交易量
<1%
百度
$366 交易量
<1%
Ox Alpha is a stealth reasoning model made available on OpenRouter on August 20, 2026, whose developer had not been publicly confirmed as of market creation.
This market will resolve according to the company that developed Ox Alpha, as identified by either the respective company, OpenRouter, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
A qualifying announcement by OpenRouter or the respective company must be public. Private communications, internal messages, statements by individuals not authorized to speak on behalf of OpenRouter or the respective company, informal statements, statements from unnamed sources, and leaks will not qualify as official announcements.
A qualifying identification must unambiguously state that the company developed Ox Alpha or that Ox Alpha was an early, preview, or internal version of one of its models. Statements that merely speculate about Ox Alpha’s identity, infer its identity from technical similarities, or identify only its operator, host, or underlying model family will not be considered. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify only if it unambiguously identifies the developer as fact rather than merely repeating speculation, technical inferences, unnamed claims, or leaks.
If two or more companies are identified as having jointly developed Ox Alpha, this market will resolve to the company identified as its primary developer. If no primary developer is clearly identified, the jointly identified companies will be ordered alphabetically according to their names as listed in this market group, and this market will resolve to the outcome listed first under that ordering. For purposes of this ordering, any jointly identified company not separately listed in this market group will be treated as “Other”.
If Ox Alpha’s developer is not clearly identified through a qualifying identification by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the respective company or its official representatives, as well as official information from OpenRouter, including its official website and official X account; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent technical forensics on OpenRouter's stealth Ox Alpha model— including matching error-code dialects, Java stack traces from Zhipu AI's API classes, and consistent tokenizer probes to GLM-5.3 variants—have driven strong trader consensus toward Z.ai (Zhipu AI). This aligns with patterns from prior anonymous Chinese lab releases on the platform, where models like those from Xiaomi later claimed similar "Alpha" branding after initial testing. The model's strong coding and agentic performance further supports positioning as an unreleased GLM variant served through Z.ai infrastructure. While the 90.5% implied probability reflects aggregated real-capital conviction in these signals, an official claim by another provider or contradictory operator-level evidence could still shift outcomes before resolution.
Ox Alpha is a stealth reasoning model made available on OpenRouter on August 20, 2026, whose developer had not been publicly confirmed as of market creation.
This market will resolve according to the company that developed Ox Alpha, as identified by either the respective company, OpenRouter, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
A qualifying announcement by OpenRouter or the respective company must be public. Private communications, internal messages, statements by individuals not authorized to speak on behalf of OpenRouter or the respective company, informal statements, statements from unnamed sources, and leaks will not qualify as official announcements.
A qualifying identification must unambiguously state that the company developed Ox Alpha or that Ox Alpha was an early, preview, or internal version of one of its models. Statements that merely speculate about Ox Alpha’s identity, infer its identity from technical similarities, or identify only its operator, host, or underlying model family will not be considered. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify only if it unambiguously identifies the developer as fact rather than merely repeating speculation, technical inferences, unnamed claims, or leaks.
If two or more companies are identified as having jointly developed Ox Alpha, this market will resolve to the company identified as its primary developer. If no primary developer is clearly identified, the jointly identified companies will be ordered alphabetically according to their names as listed in this market group, and this market will resolve to the outcome listed first under that ordering. For purposes of this ordering, any jointly identified company not separately listed in this market group will be treated as “Other”.
If Ox Alpha’s developer is not clearly identified through a qualifying identification by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the respective company or its official representatives, as well as official information from OpenRouter, including its official website and official X account; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the company that developed Ox Alpha, as identified by either the respective company, OpenRouter, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
A qualifying announcement by OpenRouter or the respective company must be public. Private communications, internal messages, statements by individuals not authorized to speak on behalf of OpenRouter or the respective company, informal statements, statements from unnamed sources, and leaks will not qualify as official announcements.
A qualifying identification must unambiguously state that the company developed Ox Alpha or that Ox Alpha was an early, preview, or internal version of one of its models. Statements that merely speculate about Ox Alpha’s identity, infer its identity from technical similarities, or identify only its operator, host, or underlying model family will not be considered. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify only if it unambiguously identifies the developer as fact rather than merely repeating speculation, technical inferences, unnamed claims, or leaks.
If two or more companies are identified as having jointly developed Ox Alpha, this market will resolve to the company identified as its primary developer. If no primary developer is clearly identified, the jointly identified companies will be ordered alphabetically according to their names as listed in this market group, and this market will resolve to the outcome listed first under that ordering. For purposes of this ordering, any jointly identified company not separately listed in this market group will be treated as “Other”.
If Ox Alpha’s developer is not clearly identified through a qualifying identification by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the respective company or its official representatives, as well as official information from OpenRouter, including its official website and official X account; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Aug 24, 2026, 11:33 AM ET
交易量
$22,742结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 11:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ox Alpha is a stealth reasoning model made available on OpenRouter on August 20, 2026, whose developer had not been publicly confirmed as of market creation.
This market will resolve according to the company that developed Ox Alpha, as identified by either the respective company, OpenRouter, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
A qualifying announcement by OpenRouter or the respective company must be public. Private communications, internal messages, statements by individuals not authorized to speak on behalf of OpenRouter or the respective company, informal statements, statements from unnamed sources, and leaks will not qualify as official announcements.
A qualifying identification must unambiguously state that the company developed Ox Alpha or that Ox Alpha was an early, preview, or internal version of one of its models. Statements that merely speculate about Ox Alpha’s identity, infer its identity from technical similarities, or identify only its operator, host, or underlying model family will not be considered. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify only if it unambiguously identifies the developer as fact rather than merely repeating speculation, technical inferences, unnamed claims, or leaks.
If two or more companies are identified as having jointly developed Ox Alpha, this market will resolve to the company identified as its primary developer. If no primary developer is clearly identified, the jointly identified companies will be ordered alphabetically according to their names as listed in this market group, and this market will resolve to the outcome listed first under that ordering. For purposes of this ordering, any jointly identified company not separately listed in this market group will be treated as “Other”.
If Ox Alpha’s developer is not clearly identified through a qualifying identification by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the respective company or its official representatives, as well as official information from OpenRouter, including its official website and official X account; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent technical forensics on OpenRouter's stealth Ox Alpha model— including matching error-code dialects, Java stack traces from Zhipu AI's API classes, and consistent tokenizer probes to GLM-5.3 variants—have driven strong trader consensus toward Z.ai (Zhipu AI). This aligns with patterns from prior anonymous Chinese lab releases on the platform, where models like those from Xiaomi later claimed similar "Alpha" branding after initial testing. The model's strong coding and agentic performance further supports positioning as an unreleased GLM variant served through Z.ai infrastructure. While the 90.5% implied probability reflects aggregated real-capital conviction in these signals, an official claim by another provider or contradictory operator-level evidence could still shift outcomes before resolution.
Ox Alpha is a stealth reasoning model made available on OpenRouter on August 20, 2026, whose developer had not been publicly confirmed as of market creation.
This market will resolve according to the company that developed Ox Alpha, as identified by either the respective company, OpenRouter, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
A qualifying announcement by OpenRouter or the respective company must be public. Private communications, internal messages, statements by individuals not authorized to speak on behalf of OpenRouter or the respective company, informal statements, statements from unnamed sources, and leaks will not qualify as official announcements.
A qualifying identification must unambiguously state that the company developed Ox Alpha or that Ox Alpha was an early, preview, or internal version of one of its models. Statements that merely speculate about Ox Alpha’s identity, infer its identity from technical similarities, or identify only its operator, host, or underlying model family will not be considered. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify only if it unambiguously identifies the developer as fact rather than merely repeating speculation, technical inferences, unnamed claims, or leaks.
If two or more companies are identified as having jointly developed Ox Alpha, this market will resolve to the company identified as its primary developer. If no primary developer is clearly identified, the jointly identified companies will be ordered alphabetically according to their names as listed in this market group, and this market will resolve to the outcome listed first under that ordering. For purposes of this ordering, any jointly identified company not separately listed in this market group will be treated as “Other”.
If Ox Alpha’s developer is not clearly identified through a qualifying identification by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the respective company or its official representatives, as well as official information from OpenRouter, including its official website and official X account; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the company that developed Ox Alpha, as identified by either the respective company, OpenRouter, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
A qualifying announcement by OpenRouter or the respective company must be public. Private communications, internal messages, statements by individuals not authorized to speak on behalf of OpenRouter or the respective company, informal statements, statements from unnamed sources, and leaks will not qualify as official announcements.
A qualifying identification must unambiguously state that the company developed Ox Alpha or that Ox Alpha was an early, preview, or internal version of one of its models. Statements that merely speculate about Ox Alpha’s identity, infer its identity from technical similarities, or identify only its operator, host, or underlying model family will not be considered. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify only if it unambiguously identifies the developer as fact rather than merely repeating speculation, technical inferences, unnamed claims, or leaks.
If two or more companies are identified as having jointly developed Ox Alpha, this market will resolve to the company identified as its primary developer. If no primary developer is clearly identified, the jointly identified companies will be ordered alphabetically according to their names as listed in this market group, and this market will resolve to the outcome listed first under that ordering. For purposes of this ordering, any jointly identified company not separately listed in this market group will be treated as “Other”.
If Ox Alpha’s developer is not clearly identified through a qualifying identification by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the respective company or its official representatives, as well as official information from OpenRouter, including its official website and official X account; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$22,742结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 11:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent technical forensics on OpenRouter's stealth Ox Alpha model— including matching error-code dialects, Java stack traces from Zhipu AI's API classes, and consistent tokenizer probes to GLM-5.3 variants—have driven strong trader consensus toward Z.ai (Zhipu AI). This aligns with patterns from prior anonymous Chinese lab releases on the platform, where models like those from Xiaomi later claimed similar "Alpha" branding after initial testing. The model's strong coding and agentic performance further supports positioning as an unreleased GLM variant served through Z.ai infrastructure. While the 90.5% implied probability reflects aggregated real-capital conviction in these signals, an official claim by another provider or contradictory operator-level evidence could still shift outcomes before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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